Algeria Ligue 1 · Matchday 4

CS Constantine vs US Biskra

Alin prediction CS Constantine to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
CS ConstantineDrawUS Biskra
Best market odds
CS Constantine1.67 Draw3.30 US Biskra6.07
Bet on CS Constantine

CS Constantine vs US Biskra preview

CS Constantine faces US Biskra with a 54% chance of winning according to the model 1X2 probabilities. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which reflects CS Constantine's expected goals of 1.52 compared to US Biskra's 1.05. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty in the outcome.

Both teams to score stands at 52%, suggesting a reasonable chance for goals from both sides. Meanwhile, Over 2.5 goals is at 47%, pointing to a potential for a low-scoring match. CS Constantine's recent form shows mixed results, while US Biskra has struggled, recording two draws and a loss in their last three games. This context could influence the match dynamics.

CS Constantine vs US Biskra: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceCS ConstantineDrawUS Biskra
Model47%28%25%
Market56%28%16%
Published54%28%18%
Edge-9%0%+9%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 1.05.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.67, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.

CS Constantine and US Biskra expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.52CS Constantine
1.05US Biskra
Total expected goals
2.57
Attack rating (CS Constantine / US Biskra)
1.19 / 0.82
Defence rating (CS Constantine / US Biskra)
1.42 / 0.93

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

CS Constantine vs US Biskra score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.9% 6.8% 4.2% 1.5% 0.5% 1 10.4% 13.4% 6.4% 2.2% 0.7% 2 8.8% 9.3% 4.9% 1.7% 0.6% 3 4.5% 4.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 4+ 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%

Rows: CS Constantine goals. Columns: US Biskra goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

CS Constantine vs US Biskra goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 91%
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 47%
Over 3.5 26%
Both teams to score
52%
No goals (0–0)
9%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for CS Constantine vs US Biskra

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2CS Constantine54%1.86
Draw28%3.53
US Biskra18%5.56
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547%2.11
Under 2.553%1.90
Both teams to scoreYes52%1.92
No48%2.08
Double chance1X (CS Constantine or draw)82%1.22
12 (either side)72%1.39
X2 (draw or US Biskra)46%2.16
Handicap -1CS Constantine win by 2+24%4.11
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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CS Constantine and US Biskra recent form

CS Constantine 1W 2D 3L
US Biskra 0W 2D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

CS Constantine at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
3.00
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
1 of 1

US Biskra away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 1

League matches this season before kick-off: CS Constantine at home only, US Biskra away only.

CS Constantine vs US Biskra head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: CS Constantine 4 · draws 4 · US Biskra 2.

CS ConstantineDrawsUS Biskra
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-05-18CS Constantine3-0US BiskraLigue 1
2024-12-02US Biskra1-1CS ConstantineLigue 1
2024-05-26US Biskra0-1CS ConstantineLigue 1
2024-01-05CS Constantine1-1US BiskraLigue 1
2023-05-31US Biskra3-2CS ConstantineLigue 1
2022-10-21CS Constantine2-1US BiskraLigue 1
2022-05-14CS Constantine0-0US BiskraLigue 1
2022-01-16US Biskra2-0CS ConstantineLigue 1
2021-07-13CS Constantine1-1US BiskraLigue 1
2021-02-06US Biskra0-1CS ConstantineLigue 1

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Prediction snapshot CS Constantine to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on CS Constantine