CR Belouizdad vs Khenchela preview
CR Belouizdad hosts Khenchela with a 66% probability to win according to the model. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 13% chance. However, Khenchela's recent form shows they are difficult to beat, having drawn their last two matches and won three of their last six. This could challenge Belouizdad's chances of securing a clean win.
The market suggests a 46% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 45% likelihood for both teams to score. Belouizdad has an expected goals figure of 1.78, while Khenchela sits at 0.75. The head-to-head record is balanced, with both teams having three wins each in their last eight encounters, which adds uncertainty to the outcome.
CR Belouizdad vs Khenchela: model vs market
| Source | CR Belouizdad | Draw | Khenchela |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61% | 25% | 14% |
| Market | 67% | 22% | 10% |
| Published | 66% | 23% | 11% |
| Edge | -6% | +3% | +4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 0.75.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.36, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
CR Belouizdad and Khenchela expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.53
- Attack rating (CR Belouizdad / Khenchela)
- 1.31 / 1.08
- Defence rating (CR Belouizdad / Khenchela)
- 0.77 / 1.00
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CR Belouizdad vs Khenchela score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CR Belouizdad goals. Columns: Khenchela goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CR Belouizdad vs Khenchela goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CR Belouizdad vs Khenchela
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CR Belouizdad | 66% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.36 | |
| Khenchela | 11% | 8.86 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.15 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.87 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.23 |
| No | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CR Belouizdad or draw) | 89% | 1.13 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Khenchela) | 34% | 2.92 | |
| Handicap -1 | CR Belouizdad win by 2+ | 36% | 2.77 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
CR Belouizdad and Khenchela recent form
CR Belouizdad
3W 3D 0L
Khenchela
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CR Belouizdad at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: CR Belouizdad at home only, Khenchela away only.
CR Belouizdad vs Khenchela head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: CR Belouizdad 3 · draws 2 · Khenchela 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | CR Belouizdad | 3-1 | Khenchela | Algeria Ligue 1 |
| 2025-09-06 | Khenchela | 1-1 | CR Belouizdad | Algeria Ligue 1 |
| 2025-02-12 | CR Belouizdad | 3-0 | Khenchela | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-10-02 | Khenchela | 0-0 | CR Belouizdad | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-05-04 | Khenchela | 2-1 | CR Belouizdad | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-10-07 | CR Belouizdad | 2-3 | Khenchela | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-07-10 | Khenchela | 4-0 | CR Belouizdad | Ligue 1 |
| 2022-12-11 | CR Belouizdad | 2-0 | Khenchela | Ligue 1 |
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