Banfield vs Argentinos JRS preview
In the Liga Profesional Argentina fixture, Banfield faces Argentinos JRS with a 1X2 probability of 26% for Banfield, 29% for a draw, and 45% for Argentinos JRS. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which has a 9% chance of occurring. Banfield's expected goals stand at 1.23, while Argentinos JRS has 1.35, indicating a slight edge for the visitors.
Both teams to score has a probability of 54%, and there is a 48% chance of Over 2.5 goals. Banfield's recent form shows 1 win and 5 matches without a win, while Argentinos JRS has 2 wins in their last 6 matches. The head-to-head record favors Argentinos JRS, who have won all of the last 3 encounters against Banfield.
Banfield vs Argentinos JRS: model vs market
| Source | Banfield | Draw | Argentinos JRS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Market | 25% | 29% | 46% |
| Published | 27% | 29% | 44% |
| Edge | +7% | 0% | -7% |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Banfield vs Argentinos JRS odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Argentinos JRS, 9 snapshots since 2026-10-10.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Banfield | 4.85 | 3.70 | -1.15 |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.25 | -0.10 |
| Argentinos JRS | 1.77 | 2.05 | +0.28 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Banfield and Argentinos JRS expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.58
- Attack rating (Banfield / Argentinos JRS)
- 1.21 / 1.13
- Defence rating (Banfield / Argentinos JRS)
- 1.35 / 0.88
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Banfield vs Argentinos JRS score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Banfield goals. Columns: Argentinos JRS goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Banfield vs Argentinos JRS goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Banfield vs Argentinos JRS
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Banfield | 27% | 3.67 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.46 | |
| Argentinos JRS | 44% | 2.28 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.86 |
| No | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Banfield or draw) | 56% | 1.78 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Argentinos JRS) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| Handicap -1 | Argentinos JRS win by 2+ | 18% | 5.52 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Banfield and Argentinos JRS recent form
Banfield
1W 4D 1L
Argentinos JRS
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Banfield at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-4-4
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.31
- Goals against / match
- 1.15
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 13
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Argentinos JRS away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-5
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 0.93
- Goals against / match
- 1.14
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
- They have won 16 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Banfield at home only, Argentinos JRS away only.
Banfield vs Argentinos JRS head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Banfield 0 · draws 0 · Argentinos JRS 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Argentinos JRS | 3-2 | Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-09-21 | Argentinos JRS | 3-0 | Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-03-07 | Banfield | 1-2 | Argentinos JRS | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Other Clausura - 13 fixtures
- Defensa Y Justicia v Instituto Cordoba — match page 2026-10-16
- Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Platense vs Lanus — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central 2026-10-17
- Racing Club v Independiente — match page 2026-10-18
- Estudiantes L.P. v San Lorenzo — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Banfield, previous: Tigre – Banfield, 2026-10-10
- Argentinos JRS, previous: Platense v Argentinos JRS analysis