Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba preview
In the Liga Profesional Argentina, Boca Juniors face Talleres Cordoba with a 62% chance of winning compared to Talleres' 14%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with Boca's expected goals of 2.53 against Talleres' 0.63. Boca Juniors have shown solid form recently, with 4 wins and 2 draws in their last 6 matches.
However, the match could take an unexpected turn if Talleres Cordoba improves their performance, as they have recently drawn and won a match. The model suggests a 61% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance for both teams to score, indicating that while Boca is favored, there are scenarios where Talleres could find the net.
Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba: model vs market
| Source | Boca Juniors | Draw | Talleres Cordoba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74% | 18% | 8% |
| Market | 57% | 26% | 17% |
| Published | 61% | 24% | 15% |
| Edge | +17% | -8% | -9% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 0.64.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Boca Juniors below the model: +17.2 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Boca Juniors, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-08.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors | 1.69 | 1.65 | -0.04 |
| Draw | 3.44 | 3.61 | +0.17 |
| Talleres Cordoba | 5.30 | 5.37 | +0.07 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Boca Juniors and Talleres Cordoba expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.93
- Attack rating (Boca Juniors / Talleres Cordoba)
- 1.54 / 0.80
- Defence rating (Boca Juniors / Talleres Cordoba)
- 0.90 / 1.29
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Boca Juniors goals. Columns: Talleres Cordoba goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Boca Juniors | 61% | 1.64 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.17 | |
| Talleres Cordoba | 15% | 6.64 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.27 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.31 |
| No | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Boca Juniors or draw) | 85% | 1.18 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Talleres Cordoba) | 39% | 2.56 | |
| Handicap -1 | Boca Juniors win by 2+ | 51% | 1.96 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Boca Juniors and Talleres Cordoba recent form
Boca Juniors
3W 2D 1L
Talleres Cordoba
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Boca Juniors at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-6-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.36
- Goals against / match
- 0.57
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 14
- They have won 13 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Talleres Cordoba away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-6
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.14
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
- They have won 9 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 29 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Boca Juniors at home only, Talleres Cordoba away only.
Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Boca Juniors 4 · draws 5 · Talleres Cordoba 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | Talleres Cordoba | 0-1 | Boca Juniors | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-11-23 | Boca Juniors | 2-0 | Talleres Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2024-09-07 | Boca Juniors | 1-1 | Talleres Cordoba | Copa Argentina |
| 2024-05-25 | Boca Juniors | 0-0 | Talleres Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2024-01-21 | Talleres Cordoba | 1-2 | Boca Juniors | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-10-16 | Talleres Cordoba | 1-1 | Boca Juniors | Copa Argentina |
| 2023-02-12 | Talleres Cordoba | 2-1 | Boca Juniors | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2022-07-16 | Boca Juniors | 1-0 | Talleres Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2021-12-09 | Talleres Cordoba | 0-0 | Boca Juniors | Copa Argentina |
| 2021-08-01 | Talleres Cordoba | 0-0 | Boca Juniors | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Other Clausura - 13 fixtures
- Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P. — team news & stats 2026-10-15
- Defensa Y Justicia v Instituto Cordoba — match page 2026-10-16
- Banfield vs Argentinos JRS 2026-10-17
- Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Platense vs Lanus — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central 2026-10-17
- Racing Club v Independiente — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Boca Juniors, previous: Boca Juniors v Vasco DA Gama analysis
- Boca Juniors, next: Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors: odds and pick
- Talleres Cordoba, previous: Talleres Cordoba v Independiente analysis