Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P. preview
In the fixture between Huracan and Gimnasia L.P., the 1X2 probabilities show Huracan at 40%, while Gimnasia L.P. sits at 29%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-0, occurring at 11%. Huracan's expected goals are 1.34, compared to Gimnasia L.P.'s 1.03, indicating a slight edge for the home side.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction. Both teams to score stands at 49%, suggesting a close contest where either side could find the net. Additionally, Huracan's recent form shows 3 wins in their last 5 matches, while Gimnasia L.P. has drawn 4 of their last 5. This could lead to a different outcome than anticipated.
Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P.: model vs market
| Source | Huracan | Draw | Gimnasia L.P. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 30% | 27% |
| Market | 38% | 33% | 29% |
| Published | 39% | 32% | 29% |
| Edge | +4% | -3% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 1.03.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Huracan below the model: +4.2 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.51, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P. odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Huracan, 11 snapshots since 2026-10-09.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huracan | 2.38 | 2.44 | +0.06 |
| Draw | 3.00 | 2.88 | -0.12 |
| Gimnasia L.P. | 3.20 | 3.23 | +0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Huracan and Gimnasia L.P. expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.37
- Attack rating (Huracan / Gimnasia L.P.)
- 0.94 / 1.23
- Defence rating (Huracan / Gimnasia L.P.)
- 0.94 / 1.24
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P. score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Huracan goals. Columns: Gimnasia L.P. goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P. goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P.
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Huracan | 39% | 2.53 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.13 | |
| Gimnasia L.P. | 29% | 3.50 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42% | 2.37 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.06 |
| No | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Huracan or draw) | 71% | 1.40 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| X2 (draw or Gimnasia L.P.) | 61% | 1.65 | |
| Handicap -1 | Huracan win by 2+ | 20% | 4.89 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Huracan and Gimnasia L.P. recent form
Huracan
3W 2D 1L
Gimnasia L.P.
2W 4D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Huracan at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.14
- Goals against / match
- 0.71
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 14
- They have won 11 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gimnasia L.P. away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-6
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.31
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 16
- They have won 14 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 8 penalties (62%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Huracan at home only, Gimnasia L.P. away only.
Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P. head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Huracan 3 · draws 4 · Gimnasia L.P. 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Gimnasia L.P. | 0-3 | Huracan | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2024-11-01 | Huracan | 0-0 | Gimnasia L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2024-02-13 | Gimnasia L.P. | 3-1 | Huracan | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| 2023-09-20 | Huracan | 2-0 | Gimnasia L.P. | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| 2023-06-13 | Gimnasia L.P. | 1-0 | Huracan | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2022-07-30 | Huracan | 0-1 | Gimnasia L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2021-08-28 | Gimnasia L.P. | 0-0 | Huracan | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2021-03-30 | Huracan | 1-1 | Gimnasia L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2020-12-05 | Gimnasia L.P. | 0-0 | Huracan | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2020-11-15 | Huracan | 3-2 | Gimnasia L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Other Clausura - 13 fixtures
- Defensa Y Justicia v Instituto Cordoba — match page 2026-10-16
- Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Banfield vs Argentinos JRS 2026-10-17
- Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Platense vs Lanus — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central 2026-10-17
- Racing Club v Independiente — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Huracan, previous: Barracas Central – Huracan, 2026-10-10
- Gimnasia L.P., previous: Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman: odds and pick