Barracas Central vs Huracan: model vs market
| Source | Barracas Central | Draw | Huracan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26% | 36% | 38% |
| Market | 32% | 34% | 33% |
| Published | 31% | 35% | 35% |
| Edge | -6% | +1% | +5% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Huracan below the model: +4.6 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.91, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Barracas Central vs Huracan odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Huracan, 14 snapshots since 2026-09-30.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barracas Central | 3.19 | 2.91 | -0.29 |
| Draw | 2.77 | 2.75 | -0.02 |
| Huracan | 2.54 | 2.81 | +0.27 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Barracas Central and Huracan expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.76
- Attack rating (Barracas Central / Huracan)
- 0.83 / 1.02
- Defence rating (Barracas Central / Huracan)
- 1.09 / 0.81
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Barracas Central vs Huracan score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Barracas Central goals. Columns: Huracan goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Barracas Central vs Huracan goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 35%
- No goals (0–0)
- 19%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Barracas Central vs Huracan
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barracas Central | 31% | 3.24 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.89 | |
| Huracan | 35% | 2.89 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26% | 3.86 |
| Under 2.5 | 74% | 1.35 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35% | 2.85 |
| No | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Barracas Central or draw) | 65% | 1.53 |
| 12 (either side) | 65% | 1.53 | |
| X2 (draw or Huracan) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Handicap -1 | Huracan win by 2+ | 15% | 6.65 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Barracas Central and Huracan recent form
Barracas Central
1W 3D 2L
Huracan
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Barracas Central at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-6
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 0.85
- Goals against / match
- 0.92
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 13
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Huracan away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-7-4
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.93
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 15
- They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Barracas Central at home only, Huracan away only.
Barracas Central vs Huracan head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Barracas Central 2 · draws 2 · Huracan 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | Barracas Central | 1-0 | Huracan | Copa Argentina |
| 2026-03-24 | Huracan | 0-0 | Barracas Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-11-17 | Barracas Central | 1-1 | Huracan | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-05-04 | Huracan | 0-1 | Barracas Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
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