Updated

Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 12

Barracas Central vs Huracan

· Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia, Barracas· Referee Hernan Mastrangelo

Full time2 – 0

Alin prediction was Huracan to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 0 – 1

16% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Barracas CentralDrawHuracan

Barracas Central vs Huracan: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceBarracas CentralDrawHuracan
Model26%36%38%
Market31%34%35%
Published30%35%36%
Edge-1%0%+1%
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Barracas Central vs Huracan odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Huracan, 22 snapshots since 2026-09-30.

Opened 2.54Now 2.70 +0.16
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Barracas Central3.193.08-0.12
Draw2.772.73-0.04
Huracan2.542.70+0.16

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Barracas Central and Huracan expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.77Barracas Central
0.99Huracan
Total expected goals
1.76
Attack rating (Barracas Central / Huracan)
0.83 / 1.01
Defence rating (Barracas Central / Huracan)
1.09 / 0.81

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Barracas Central vs Huracan score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 18.5% 15.7% 8.4% 2.8% 0.9% 1 11.9% 14.4% 6.5% 2.1% 0.7% 2 5.1% 5.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.3% 3 1.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 4+ 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Barracas Central goals. Columns: Huracan goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Barracas Central vs Huracan goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 81%
Over 1.5 54%
Over 2.5 26%
Over 3.5 10%
Both teams to score
35%
No goals (0–0)
19%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Barracas Central vs Huracan

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Barracas Central30%3.39
Draw35%2.87
Huracan36%2.80
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.526%3.86
Under 2.574%1.35
Both teams to scoreYes35%2.85
No65%1.54
Double chance1X (Barracas Central or draw)64%1.56
12 (either side)65%1.53
X2 (draw or Huracan)70%1.42
Handicap -1Huracan win by 2+15%6.62
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Barracas Central and Huracan recent form

Barracas Central 1W 3D 2L
Huracan 3W 3D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Barracas Central at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-3-6
Win rate
31%
Goals for / match
0.85
Goals against / match
0.92
Clean sheets
4 of 13
  • They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Huracan away

Record (W-D-L)
4-7-4
Win rate
27%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
0.93
Clean sheets
5 of 15
  • They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 29 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Barracas Central at home only, Huracan away only.

Expected lineups

Barracas Central lineup · 5-3-2

  1. 30 M. Miño
  2. 17 E. Pereyra
  3. 31 N. Demartini
  4. 15 Y. Rak
  5. 14 K. Jappert
  6. 24 Enzo Taborda
  7. 10 I. Tapia
  8. 5 D. Miloc
  9. 28 R. Bogarín
  10. 34 N. Orsini
  11. 11 N. Briasco

Bench: J. Espínola, N. Capraro, R. Insúa, R. Barrios, Ivan Guaraz, W. Rivera, G. Maroni, E. Rolón, Tomas Lavezzi, G. Campi, F. Bruera

Huracan lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 H. Galíndez
  2. 25 C. Ibáñez
  3. 35 Máximo Palazzo
  4. 6 F. Pereyra
  5. 2 L. Blondel
  6. 15 F. Waller
  7. 5 R. Fernández
  8. 7 Ó. Cortés
  9. 24 F. Kalinger
  10. 17 F. Bisanz
  11. 9 J. Caicedo

Bench: F. Vera, L. Gil, Ó. Romero, T. Peralta, L. Lescano, E. Ojeda, M. Nervo, I. Pussetto, S. Meza, B. Barticciotto, Ignacio Campo, L. Mora

Barracas Central vs Huracan head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Barracas Central 4 · draws 4 · Huracan 2.

Barracas CentralDrawsHuracan
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-06-03Barracas Central1-0HuracanCopa Argentina
2026-03-24Huracan0-0Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
2025-11-17Barracas Central1-1HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
2025-05-04Huracan0-1Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
2024-06-04Barracas Central0-2HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
2024-03-17Barracas Central1-0HuracanCopa de la Liga Profesional
2023-10-31Huracan0-0Barracas CentralCopa de la Liga Profesional
2023-02-18Huracan2-0Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
2022-09-13Huracan1-1Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
2022-04-11Huracan1-2Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina

Other Clausura - 12 fixtures

Before and after this match