Updated

Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 12

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes L.P.

· Estadio Alfredo Terrera, Santiago del Estero· Referee Andres Gariano

Full time2 – 2

Alin prediction was Estudiantes L.P. to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 0 – 1

13% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Central Cordoba de SantiagoDrawEstudiantes L.P.

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes L.P.: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceCentral Cordoba de SantiagoDrawEstudiantes L.P.
Model23%30%47%
Market33%32%35%
Published31%32%38%
Edge-3%0%+3%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 0.87.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Estudiantes L.P. below our published probability: +3.0 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes L.P. odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Estudiantes L.P., 30 snapshots since 2026-09-26.

Opened 2.13Now 2.70 +0.57
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Central Cordoba de Santiago3.822.83-0.99
Draw2.972.92-0.05
Estudiantes L.P.2.132.70+0.57

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Central Cordoba de Santiago and Estudiantes L.P. expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.87Central Cordoba de Santiago
1.35Estudiantes L.P.
Total expected goals
2.23
Attack rating (Central Cordoba de Santiago / Estudiantes L.P.)
0.89 / 1.20
Defence rating (Central Cordoba de Santiago / Estudiantes L.P.)
1.26 / 0.85

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes L.P. score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 12.1% 13.3% 9.9% 4.5% 2.0% 1 8.2% 14.0% 8.6% 3.9% 1.8% 2 4.1% 5.6% 3.8% 1.7% 0.8% 3 1.2% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 4+ 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Rows: Central Cordoba de Santiago goals. Columns: Estudiantes L.P. goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes L.P. goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%
Over 1.5 66%
Over 2.5 38%
Over 3.5 19%
Both teams to score
44%
No goals (0–0)
12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes L.P.

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Central Cordoba de Santiago31%3.27
Draw32%3.16
Estudiantes L.P.38%2.65
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538%2.60
Under 2.562%1.62
Both teams to scoreYes44%2.25
No56%1.80
Double chance1X (Central Cordoba de Santiago or draw)62%1.61
12 (either side)68%1.46
X2 (draw or Estudiantes L.P.)69%1.44
Handicap -1Estudiantes L.P. win by 2+23%4.38
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Central Cordoba de Santiago and Estudiantes L.P. recent form

Central Cordoba de Santiago 0W 3D 3L
Estudiantes L.P. 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Central Cordoba de Santiago at home

Record (W-D-L)
5-2-6
Win rate
38%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.15
Clean sheets
5 of 13
  • They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 14 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Estudiantes L.P. away

Record (W-D-L)
4-3-6
Win rate
31%
Goals for / match
0.69
Goals against / match
0.85
Clean sheets
5 of 13
  • They have won 13 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 13 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Central Cordoba de Santiago at home only, Estudiantes L.P. away only.

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes L.P. head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Central Cordoba de Santiago 2 · draws 3 · Estudiantes L.P. 5.

Central Cordoba de SantiagoDrawsEstudiantes L.P.
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-23Estudiantes L.P.5-0Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
2025-11-30Central Cordoba de Santiago0-1Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina
2025-08-30Central Cordoba de Santiago2-0Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina
2025-02-21Estudiantes L.P.3-2Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
2024-11-10Central Cordoba de Santiago1-1Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina
2024-07-17Estudiantes L.P.1-2Central Cordoba de SantiagoCopa Argentina
2024-04-07Estudiantes L.P.5-0Central Cordoba de SantiagoCopa de la Liga Profesional
2023-11-10Central Cordoba de Santiago0-1Estudiantes L.P.Copa de la Liga Profesional
2023-07-01Estudiantes L.P.1-1Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
2022-07-10Estudiantes L.P.2-2Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina

Other Clausura - 12 fixtures

Before and after this match