Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago preview
In the upcoming match between Newells Old Boys and Central Cordoba de Santiago, the 1X2 probabilities show Newells Old Boys at 49%, while Central Cordoba de Santiago sits at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 16% chance of occurring. Newells Old Boys has an expected goals figure of 1.36, compared to Central Cordoba de Santiago's 0.72, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, the match could see fewer goals than anticipated. The model suggests only a 34% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 39% likelihood for both teams to score. Recent form also highlights struggles, with Newells Old Boys drawing three of their last five matches and Central Cordoba de Santiago managing just one win in their last five.
Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago: model vs market
| Source | Newells Old Boys | Draw | Central Cordoba de Santiago |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51% | 30% | 18% |
| Market | 47% | 30% | 23% |
| Published | 48% | 30% | 22% |
| Edge | +4% | 0% | -5% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.36 vs 0.72.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Newells Old Boys below the model: +4.3 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.04, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Newells Old Boys, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-13.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newells Old Boys | 1.93 | 2.00 | +0.07 |
| Draw | 3.10 | 3.10 | +0.00 |
| Central Cordoba de Santiago | 4.20 | 4.04 | -0.16 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Newells Old Boys and Central Cordoba de Santiago expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.08
- Attack rating (Newells Old Boys / Central Cordoba de Santiago)
- 0.89 / 1.01
- Defence rating (Newells Old Boys / Central Cordoba de Santiago)
- 0.80 / 1.32
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Newells Old Boys goals. Columns: Central Cordoba de Santiago goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 39%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Newells Old Boys | 48% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.31 | |
| Central Cordoba de Santiago | 22% | 4.55 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34% | 2.90 |
| Under 2.5 | 66% | 1.53 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39% | 2.55 |
| No | 61% | 1.65 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Newells Old Boys or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Central Cordoba de Santiago) | 52% | 1.92 | |
| Handicap -1 | Newells Old Boys win by 2+ | 25% | 3.93 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Newells Old Boys and Central Cordoba de Santiago recent form
Newells Old Boys
1W 4D 1L
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0W 4D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Newells Old Boys at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-7-3
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 14
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Central Cordoba de Santiago away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-5-8
- Win rate
- 7%
- Goals for / match
- 0.43
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Newells Old Boys at home only, Central Cordoba de Santiago away only.
Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Newells Old Boys 1 · draws 1 · Central Cordoba de Santiago 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 1-3 | Newells Old Boys | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-08-09 | Newells Old Boys | 1-1 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-02-07 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 2-0 | Newells Old Boys | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Other Clausura - 13 fixtures
- Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central 2026-10-17
- Racing Club v Independiente — match page 2026-10-18
- Estudiantes L.P. v San Lorenzo — match page 2026-10-18
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi 2026-10-18
- Belgrano Cordoba vs River Plate 2026-10-18
- Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas Central 2026-10-19
- Deportivo Riestra v Union Santa Fe — match page 2026-10-20
Before and after this match
- Newells Old Boys, previous: Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys prediction
- Central Cordoba de Santiago, previous: Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes L.P.: odds and pick