Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi preview
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto faces Aldosivi with a 34% chance for each team to win according to our model, while a draw sits at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a probability of 11%. Estudiantes has struggled recently, recording 5 losses and 1 draw in their last 6 matches. In contrast, Aldosivi has 2 wins and 4 losses in their recent form.
The expected goals show Estudiantes at 1.09 and Aldosivi at 1.27, indicating a slight edge for the visitors. However, the match could see Over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 49%. If Estudiantes improves their form or if Aldosivi underperforms, the outcome could differ from the predictions.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi: model vs market
| Source | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | Draw | Aldosivi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30% | 30% | 39% |
| Market | 35% | 32% | 33% |
| Published | 34% | 32% | 34% |
| Edge | -5% | -2% | +7% |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Aldosivi below the model: +6.5 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.94, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Aldosivi, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-13.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 2.70 | 2.67 | -0.03 |
| Draw | 2.90 | 2.89 | -0.01 |
| Aldosivi | 2.88 | 2.87 | -0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Aldosivi expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.36
- Attack rating (Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto / Aldosivi)
- 0.62 / 1.09
- Defence rating (Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto / Aldosivi)
- 1.31 / 1.52
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto goals. Columns: Aldosivi goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 34% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.14 | |
| Aldosivi | 34% | 2.92 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42% | 2.39 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.04 |
| No | 51% | 1.96 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto or draw) | 66% | 1.52 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| X2 (draw or Aldosivi) | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Handicap -1 | Aldosivi win by 2+ | 18% | 5.55 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Aldosivi recent form
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0W 1D 5L
Aldosivi
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-9
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 0.43
- Goals against / match
- 1.07
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 14
- They have won 2 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 27 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aldosivi away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-12
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.64
- Goals against / match
- 1.79
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 14
- They have won 2 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 27 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto at home only, Aldosivi away only.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0 · draws 1 · Aldosivi 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Aldosivi | 0-0 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Other Clausura - 13 fixtures
- Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Platense vs Lanus — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central 2026-10-17
- Racing Club v Independiente — match page 2026-10-18
- Estudiantes L.P. v San Lorenzo — match page 2026-10-18
- Belgrano Cordoba vs River Plate 2026-10-18
- Newells Old Boys v Central Cordoba de Santiago — match page 2026-10-19
Before and after this match
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, previous: River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto prediction
- Aldosivi, previous: Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin prediction