Talleres Cordoba vs Independiente: model vs market
| Source | Talleres Cordoba | Draw | Independiente |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 29% | 34% |
| Market | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Published | 39% | 30% | 31% |
| Edge | -2% | -2% | +4% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.52, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Talleres Cordoba vs Independiente odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Talleres Cordoba, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-06.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Talleres Cordoba | 2.37 | 2.37 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.07 | 3.07 | +0.00 |
| Independiente | 3.12 | 3.12 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Talleres Cordoba and Independiente expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.60
- Attack rating (Talleres Cordoba / Independiente)
- 0.86 / 1.01
- Defence rating (Talleres Cordoba / Independiente)
- 1.40 / 1.36
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Talleres Cordoba vs Independiente score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Talleres Cordoba goals. Columns: Independiente goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Talleres Cordoba vs Independiente goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Talleres Cordoba vs Independiente
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Talleres Cordoba | 39% | 2.56 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.33 | |
| Independiente | 31% | 3.24 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.08 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.85 |
| No | 46% | 2.18 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Talleres Cordoba or draw) | 69% | 1.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Independiente) | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Handicap -1 | Talleres Cordoba win by 2+ | 18% | 5.65 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Talleres Cordoba and Independiente recent form
Talleres Cordoba
1W 2D 3L
Independiente
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Talleres Cordoba at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-3-6
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.14
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
- They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
Independiente away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-5
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.21
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Talleres Cordoba at home only, Independiente away only.
Talleres Cordoba vs Independiente head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Talleres Cordoba 2 · draws 0 · Independiente 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Independiente | 1-2 | Talleres Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-07-21 | Independiente | 1-2 | Talleres Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-01-29 | Talleres Cordoba | 2-3 | Independiente | Liga Profesional Argentina |
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