Racing Club vs Belgrano Cordoba: model vs market
| Source | Racing Club | Draw | Belgrano Cordoba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 29% | 37% |
| Market | 39% | 31% | 29% |
| Published | 38% | 31% | 31% |
| Edge | -5% | -3% | +8% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.42, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Racing Club vs Belgrano Cordoba odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Racing Club, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-05.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Club | 2.38 | 2.38 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.00 | 3.00 | -0.00 |
| Belgrano Cordoba | 3.25 | 3.23 | -0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Racing Club and Belgrano Cordoba expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.62
- Attack rating (Racing Club / Belgrano Cordoba)
- 1.36 / 1.08
- Defence rating (Racing Club / Belgrano Cordoba)
- 1.40 / 0.82
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Racing Club vs Belgrano Cordoba score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Racing Club goals. Columns: Belgrano Cordoba goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Racing Club vs Belgrano Cordoba goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Racing Club vs Belgrano Cordoba
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing Club | 38% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.25 | |
| Belgrano Cordoba | 31% | 3.21 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.06 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.94 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.84 |
| No | 46% | 2.20 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Racing Club or draw) | 69% | 1.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| X2 (draw or Belgrano Cordoba) | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Handicap -1 | Racing Club win by 2+ | 16% | 6.45 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Racing Club and Belgrano Cordoba recent form
Racing Club
2W 0D 4L
Belgrano Cordoba
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Racing Club at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-5
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.15
- Goals against / match
- 1.23
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 13
- They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Belgrano Cordoba away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-7-2
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 0.94
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 9 of 16
- They have won 15 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Racing Club at home only, Belgrano Cordoba away only.
Racing Club vs Belgrano Cordoba head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Racing Club 4 · draws 0 · Belgrano Cordoba 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Racing Club | 1-0 | Belgrano Cordoba | Copa Argentina |
| 2026-03-22 | Belgrano Cordoba | 1-2 | Racing Club | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-07-20 | Belgrano Cordoba | 0-1 | Racing Club | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-01-30 | Racing Club | 4-0 | Belgrano Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina |
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