Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Lanus preview
In the upcoming match between Central Cordoba de Santiago and Lanus, the 1X2 probabilities show Lanus at 56%, compared to Central Cordoba de Santiago's 18%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 14% chance. Central Cordoba de Santiago has struggled recently, with 6 matches without a win (L-L-L-D-D-D), while Lanus has shown better form, with 4 matches unbeaten (D-D-W-W-D-W).
Both teams to score is at 44%, and Over 2.5 goals also sits at 44%. Central Cordoba de Santiago's expected goals are only 0.74, while Lanus has a much higher expected goals figure of 1.70. If Central Cordoba de Santiago can improve their attacking performance, it could challenge the predictions.
Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Lanus: model vs market
| Source | Central Cordoba de Santiago | Draw | Lanus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15% | 26% | 59% |
| Market | 19% | 27% | 54% |
| Published | 18% | 27% | 56% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.75, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Lanus odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Lanus, 13 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Cordoba de Santiago | 3.85 | 4.97 | +1.12 |
| Draw | 3.05 | 3.50 | +0.45 |
| Lanus | 2.08 | 1.73 | -0.35 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Central Cordoba de Santiago and Lanus expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.44
- Attack rating (Central Cordoba de Santiago / Lanus)
- 0.79 / 1.11
- Defence rating (Central Cordoba de Santiago / Lanus)
- 1.68 / 0.81
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Lanus score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Central Cordoba de Santiago goals. Columns: Lanus goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Lanus goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Lanus
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 18% | 5.59 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.76 | |
| Lanus | 56% | 1.80 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44% | 2.27 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.28 |
| No | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Central Cordoba de Santiago or draw) | 44% | 2.25 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Lanus) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| Handicap -1 | Lanus win by 2+ | 34% | 2.94 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Central Cordoba de Santiago and Lanus recent form
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0W 3D 3L
Lanus
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Central Cordoba de Santiago at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-3-7
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.47
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 15
- They have won 6 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lanus away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-4-6
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.12
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 16
- They have won 13 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Central Cordoba de Santiago at home only, Lanus away only.
Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Lanus head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Central Cordoba de Santiago 2 · draws 6 · Lanus 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Lanus | 0-0 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-08-22 | Lanus | 1-0 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| 2025-08-15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 1-0 | Lanus | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| 2024-08-17 | Lanus | 1-1 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2024-03-07 | Lanus | 0-1 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| 2023-10-16 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 0-0 | Lanus | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| 2023-04-12 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 1-1 | Lanus | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2022-08-26 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 2-2 | Lanus | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2022-05-09 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 3-3 | Lanus | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2021-10-02 | Lanus | 2-1 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Other Clausura - 16 fixtures
- Banfield v Atletico Tucuman — match page 2026-11-07
- Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin 2026-11-07
- Talleres Cordoba vs Estudiantes L.P. — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Argentinos JRS vs Huracan 2026-11-07
- Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Central Cordoba de Santiago, previous: Platense – Central Cordoba de Santiago, 2026-11-02
- Lanus, previous: Lanus – Gimnasia M., 2026-11-01