Banfield vs Atletico Tucuman preview
In the match between Banfield and Atletico Tucuman, the 1X2 probabilities show Banfield at 38%, a draw at 29%, and Atletico Tucuman at 33%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with an 8% chance. Both teams to score is at 58%, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 54%.
Banfield's expected goals are 1.43 compared to Atletico Tucuman's 1.39. Recent form indicates Banfield has 2 draws and 1 win in their last 5 matches, while Atletico Tucuman has 1 win and 2 draws. The head-to-head record shows Banfield with 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 wins for Atletico Tucuman in the last 10 encounters. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating uncertainty in the outcome.
Banfield vs Atletico Tucuman: model vs market
| Source | Banfield | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 28% | 35% |
| Market | 39% | 30% | 31% |
| Published | 38% | 29% | 32% |
| Edge | 0% | -1% | +1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.47, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Banfield vs Atletico Tucuman odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Banfield, 5 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Banfield | 2.47 | 2.42 | -0.05 |
| Draw | 3.14 | 3.15 | +0.01 |
| Atletico Tucuman | 2.99 | 2.99 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Banfield and Atletico Tucuman expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.82
- Attack rating (Banfield / Atletico Tucuman)
- 1.04 / 1.09
- Defence rating (Banfield / Atletico Tucuman)
- 1.40 / 1.19
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Banfield vs Atletico Tucuman score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Banfield goals. Columns: Atletico Tucuman goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Banfield vs Atletico Tucuman goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Banfield vs Atletico Tucuman
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Banfield | 38% | 2.61 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.42 | |
| Atletico Tucuman | 32% | 3.08 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.86 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.71 |
| No | 42% | 2.40 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Banfield or draw) | 68% | 1.48 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Atletico Tucuman) | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Handicap -1 | Banfield win by 2+ | 18% | 5.57 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Banfield and Atletico Tucuman recent form
Banfield
1W 3D 2L
Atletico Tucuman
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Banfield at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-5-5
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.13
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 15
- They have won 8 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico Tucuman away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-8
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.93
- Goals against / match
- 1.13
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 15
- They have won 7 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Banfield at home only, Atletico Tucuman away only.
Banfield vs Atletico Tucuman head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Banfield 3 · draws 5 · Atletico Tucuman 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Atletico Tucuman | 1-1 | Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2024-07-20 | Banfield | 1-1 | Atletico Tucuman | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2024-03-07 | Atletico Tucuman | 0-3 | Banfield | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| 2023-10-16 | Banfield | 0-0 | Atletico Tucuman | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| 2023-03-05 | Atletico Tucuman | 1-0 | Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2022-09-06 | Atletico Tucuman | 0-0 | Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2022-05-10 | Banfield | 1-1 | Atletico Tucuman | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2021-09-25 | Banfield | 2-0 | Atletico Tucuman | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2020-12-15 | Atletico Tucuman | 0-2 | Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2019-10-19 | Banfield | 1-2 | Atletico Tucuman | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Other Clausura - 16 fixtures
- Barracas Central vs Racing Club 2026-11-06
- Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield 2026-11-06
- Independiente v Deportivo Riestra — match page 2026-11-06
- San Lorenzo v Platense — match page 2026-11-06
- Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin 2026-11-07
- Talleres Cordoba vs Estudiantes L.P. — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — team news & stats 2026-11-07
Before and after this match
- Banfield, previous: Independ. Rivadavia v Banfield analysis
- Banfield, next: Banfield vs Boca Juniors prediction
- Atletico Tucuman, previous: Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos JRS prediction