San Lorenzo vs Platense preview
In the Liga Profesional Argentina, San Lorenzo has a 34% chance to win against Platense, who also has a 32% chance, while a draw is equally likely at 34%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of San Lorenzo, with a 12% probability.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with San Lorenzo recording D-D-W-W-L-L and Platense at W-D-W-L-D-D. The expected goals are 0.88 for San Lorenzo and 0.98 for Platense, suggesting a close match. The low probabilities for Over 2.5 goals at 29% and both teams to score at 38% indicate that a low-scoring game is more likely, which could challenge the predicted scoreline.
San Lorenzo vs Platense: model vs market
| Source | San Lorenzo | Draw | Platense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| Market | 36% | 33% | 31% |
| Published | 35% | 33% | 32% |
| Edge | -2% | +1% | +1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.63, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
San Lorenzo vs Platense odds movement
Median bookmaker price on San Lorenzo, 5 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Lorenzo | 2.65 | 2.58 | -0.06 |
| Draw | 2.85 | 2.87 | +0.02 |
| Platense | 3.04 | 3.00 | -0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
San Lorenzo and Platense expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.86
- Attack rating (San Lorenzo / Platense)
- 0.80 / 1.09
- Defence rating (San Lorenzo / Platense)
- 0.99 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
San Lorenzo vs Platense score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: San Lorenzo goals. Columns: Platense goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
San Lorenzo vs Platense goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 38%
- No goals (0–0)
- 17%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for San Lorenzo vs Platense
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Lorenzo | 35% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.01 | |
| Platense | 32% | 3.11 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29% | 3.51 |
| Under 2.5 | 71% | 1.40 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38% | 2.64 |
| No | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Double chance | 1X (San Lorenzo or draw) | 68% | 1.47 |
| 12 (either side) | 67% | 1.50 | |
| X2 (draw or Platense) | 65% | 1.53 | |
| Handicap -1 | San Lorenzo win by 2+ | 11% | 9.33 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
San Lorenzo and Platense recent form
San Lorenzo
2W 2D 2L
Platense
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
San Lorenzo at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-5
- Win rate
- 47%
- Goals for / match
- 0.93
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 9 of 15
- They have won 10 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 32 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Platense away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-6-5
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.07
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 15
- They have won 7 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
League matches this season before kick-off: San Lorenzo at home only, Platense away only.
San Lorenzo vs Platense head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: San Lorenzo 5 · draws 3 · Platense 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Platense | 0-1 | San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-08-16 | Platense | 2-1 | San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-05-25 | San Lorenzo | 0-1 | Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-02-13 | San Lorenzo | 2-1 | Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2024-09-01 | Platense | 1-2 | San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2024-03-10 | Platense | 0-0 | San Lorenzo | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| 2023-10-26 | San Lorenzo | 1-1 | Platense | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| 2023-07-27 | San Lorenzo | 0-0 | Platense | Copa Argentina |
| 2023-04-23 | San Lorenzo | 1-0 | Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2022-08-16 | San Lorenzo | 2-0 | Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Other Clausura - 16 fixtures
- Barracas Central vs Racing Club 2026-11-06
- Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield 2026-11-06
- Independiente v Deportivo Riestra — match page 2026-11-06
- Banfield v Atletico Tucuman — match page 2026-11-07
- Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin 2026-11-07
- Talleres Cordoba vs Estudiantes L.P. — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — team news & stats 2026-11-07
Before and after this match
- San Lorenzo, previous: Velez Sarsfield – San Lorenzo, 2026-10-31
- Platense, previous: Platense – Central Cordoba de Santiago, 2026-11-02