Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto preview
In the Liga Profesional Argentina, Rosario Central faces Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto with a strong probability of 79% for a Rosario Central win. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, occurring 14% of the time according to our model. Rosario Central's expected goals stand at 2.44, while Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto has a low 0.60.
Rosario Central's recent form shows 5 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 matches, while Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto has lost 5 of their last 6 games. The model indicates a 59% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance for both teams to score. However, if Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto improves their performance, it could affect these predictions.
Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: model vs market
| Source | Rosario Central | Draw | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 77% | 16% | 6% |
| Market | 78% | 16% | 7% |
| Published | 78% | 16% | 7% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.44 vs 0.60.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.23, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Rosario Central, 7 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rosario Central | 1.23 | 1.20 | -0.03 |
| Draw | 5.77 | 6.00 | +0.23 |
| Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 12.02 | 14.12 | +2.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Rosario Central and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.04
- Attack rating (Rosario Central / Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto)
- 1.57 / 0.82
- Defence rating (Rosario Central / Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto)
- 0.80 / 1.35
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Rosario Central goals. Columns: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rosario Central | 78% | 1.29 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.36 | |
| Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 7% | 15.21 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.39 |
| No | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Rosario Central or draw) | 93% | 1.07 |
| 12 (either side) | 84% | 1.19 | |
| X2 (draw or Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto) | 22% | 4.49 | |
| Handicap -1 | Rosario Central win by 2+ | 56% | 1.80 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Rosario Central and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto recent form
Rosario Central
5W 1D 0L
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Rosario Central at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-4-3
- Win rate
- 59%
- Goals for / match
- 1.59
- Goals against / match
- 0.76
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 17
- They have won 18 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-13
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 15
- They have won 3 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 18 of 30 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Rosario Central at home only, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto away only.
Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Rosario Central 1 · draws 0 · Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 1-2 | Rosario Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Other Clausura - 16 fixtures
- Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield 2026-11-06
- Independiente v Deportivo Riestra — match page 2026-11-06
- Banfield v Atletico Tucuman — match page 2026-11-07
- Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin 2026-11-07
- Talleres Cordoba vs Estudiantes L.P. — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Argentinos JRS vs Huracan 2026-11-07
Before and after this match
- Rosario Central, previous: Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central: odds and pick
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, previous: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto v Gimnasia L.P. analysis