Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P. preview
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto faces Gimnasia L.P. with a 18% chance of winning compared to Gimnasia's 54%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 11%. Estudiantes has struggled recently, with 5 losses in their last 6 matches, while Gimnasia remains unbeaten in their last 6 games, winning 3 of them.
The expected goals show Estudiantes at 0.97 and Gimnasia at 1.57, indicating a potential for a low-scoring match. However, with both teams to score at 50% and Over 2.5 goals at 47%, there is a possibility of a more dynamic game than the stats suggest. The confidence grade is C, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P.: model vs market
| Source | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | Draw | Gimnasia L.P. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22% | 27% | 51% |
| Market | 21% | 29% | 51% |
| Published | 21% | 28% | 51% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.99.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.00, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +1.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P. odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Gimnasia L.P., 12 snapshots since 2026-10-21.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 5.50 | 4.54 | -0.96 |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.25 | -0.10 |
| Gimnasia L.P. | 1.70 | 1.83 | +0.13 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Gimnasia L.P. expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.63
- Attack rating (Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto / Gimnasia L.P.)
- 0.79 / 1.37
- Defence rating (Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto / Gimnasia L.P.)
- 1.32 / 1.10
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P. score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto goals. Columns: Gimnasia L.P. goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P. goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P.
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 21% | 4.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 | |
| Gimnasia L.P. | 51% | 1.96 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.05 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.93 |
| No | 48% | 2.08 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto or draw) | 49% | 2.04 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Gimnasia L.P.) | 79% | 1.26 | |
| Handicap -1 | Gimnasia L.P. win by 2+ | 28% | 3.58 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Gimnasia L.P. recent form
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1W 0D 5L
Gimnasia L.P.
2W 4D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-9
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.53
- Goals against / match
- 1.07
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 15
- They have won 3 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 18 of 29 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gimnasia L.P. away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-3-6
- Win rate
- 47%
- Goals for / match
- 1.06
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 17
- They have won 15 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 8 penalties (62%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto at home only, Gimnasia L.P. away only.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P. head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0 · draws 0 · Gimnasia L.P. 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Gimnasia L.P. | 1-0 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Other Clausura - 15 fixtures
- Huracan vs Tigre — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Racing Club v Aldosivi — match page 2026-10-31
- Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central 2026-10-31
- Defensa Y Justicia v Independiente — match page 2026-10-31
- Deportivo Riestra v Talleres Cordoba — match page 2026-10-31
- Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Estudiantes L.P. v Instituto Cordoba — match page 2026-11-01
- Boca Juniors vs River Plate — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, previous: Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: odds and pick
- Gimnasia L.P., previous: Gimnasia L.P. – Sarmiento Junin, 2026-10-23