Racing Club vs Aldosivi preview
In the Liga Profesional match between Racing Club and Aldosivi, the 1X2 probabilities show Racing Club at 58%, while Aldosivi sits at 17%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Racing Club has an expected goals figure of 2.01 compared to Aldosivi's 1.36, indicating a stronger offensive performance.
However, recent form could influence the outcome. Racing Club has recorded a D-L-W-L-W-L streak, while Aldosivi has L-L-L-W-L-W. This inconsistency in form, particularly for Racing Club, could lead to unexpected results, affecting predictions like Over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 65%.
Racing Club vs Aldosivi: model vs market
| Source | Racing Club | Draw | Aldosivi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 27% | 29% |
| Market | 60% | 25% | 15% |
| Published | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| Edge | -4% | +1% | +3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.27.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.60, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Racing Club vs Aldosivi odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Racing Club, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-23.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Club | 1.55 | 1.55 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.74 | 3.78 | +0.04 |
| Aldosivi | 6.43 | 6.05 | -0.38 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Racing Club and Aldosivi expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.88
- Attack rating (Racing Club / Aldosivi)
- 1.00 / 1.03
- Defence rating (Racing Club / Aldosivi)
- 1.37 / 1.40
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Racing Club vs Aldosivi score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Racing Club goals. Columns: Aldosivi goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Racing Club vs Aldosivi goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Racing Club vs Aldosivi
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing Club | 56% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.98 | |
| Aldosivi | 19% | 5.33 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.22 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.70 |
| No | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Racing Club or draw) | 81% | 1.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Aldosivi) | 44% | 2.28 | |
| Handicap -1 | Racing Club win by 2+ | 23% | 4.26 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Racing Club and Aldosivi recent form
Racing Club
2W 1D 3L
Aldosivi
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Racing Club at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-6
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 1.07
- Goals against / match
- 1.27
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 15
- They have won 9 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aldosivi away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-13
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 15
- They have won 2 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 29 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Racing Club at home only, Aldosivi away only.
Racing Club vs Aldosivi head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Racing Club 2 · draws 1 · Aldosivi 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Aldosivi | 1-1 | Racing Club | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-10-17 | Racing Club | 1-0 | Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-04-14 | Aldosivi | 0-2 | Racing Club | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Other Clausura - 15 fixtures
- Huracan vs Tigre — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P. 2026-10-30
- Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central 2026-10-31
- Defensa Y Justicia v Independiente — match page 2026-10-31
- Deportivo Riestra v Talleres Cordoba — match page 2026-10-31
- Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Estudiantes L.P. v Instituto Cordoba — match page 2026-11-01
- Boca Juniors vs River Plate — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Racing Club, previous: River Plate v Racing Club analysis
- Aldosivi, previous: Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba: odds and pick