Updated

Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 15

Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba

· Estadio Guillermo Laza, Buenos Aires

Alin prediction Deportivo Riestra to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

15% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Deportivo RiestraDrawTalleres Cordoba
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.77.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Best market odds
Deportivo Riestra2.87 Draw2.90 Talleres Cordoba2.82

Price as of

Expected return at 2.87: +4.8% per unit staked

18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 8 bookmakers, each at its own last update; the highlighted price is our pick.

Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba preview

In the Liga Profesional Argentina, Deportivo Riestra has a 45% chance to win against Talleres Cordoba, who has a 22% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 16% probability, suggesting a close match. Deportivo Riestra has an expected goals figure of 1.20, while Talleres Cordoba sits at 0.77.

Both teams to score stands at 39%, indicating a lower likelihood of both teams finding the net. Recent form shows Deportivo Riestra with three draws and three losses in their last six matches, while Talleres Cordoba has one win in their last six. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the predictions.

Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceDeportivo RiestraDrawTalleres Cordoba
Model45%33%22%
Market34%32%34%
Published37%33%31%
Edge+3%0%-3%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.77.
  • The market prices Deportivo Riestra below our published probability: +2.8 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.87, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +4.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Deportivo Riestra, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-25.

Opened 2.75Now 2.75 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Deportivo Riestra2.752.75+0.00
Draw2.862.86+0.00
Talleres Cordoba2.752.75+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Deportivo Riestra and Talleres Cordoba expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.20Deportivo Riestra
0.77Talleres Cordoba
Total expected goals
1.97
Attack rating (Deportivo Riestra / Talleres Cordoba)
0.75 / 0.85
Defence rating (Deportivo Riestra / Talleres Cordoba)
1.00 / 1.40

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 15.3% 9.5% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 1 15.5% 14.2% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 2 10.0% 7.7% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 3 4.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 4+ 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Deportivo Riestra goals. Columns: Talleres Cordoba goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 85%
Over 1.5 60%
Over 2.5 31%
Over 3.5 14%
Both teams to score
39%
No goals (0–0)
15%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Deportivo Riestra37%2.74
Draw33%3.07
Talleres Cordoba31%3.23
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531%3.18
Under 2.569%1.46
Both teams to scoreYes39%2.58
No61%1.63
Double chance1X (Deportivo Riestra or draw)69%1.45
12 (either side)67%1.48
X2 (draw or Talleres Cordoba)63%1.58
Handicap -1Deportivo Riestra win by 2+20%4.91
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Deportivo Riestra and Talleres Cordoba recent form

Deportivo Riestra 0W 4D 2L
Talleres Cordoba 1W 1D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Deportivo Riestra at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-8-4
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
0.80
Goals against / match
0.73
Clean sheets
6 of 15
  • They have won 3 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They average 0.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 18 of 29 matches.

Talleres Cordoba away

Record (W-D-L)
4-4-7
Win rate
27%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.20
Clean sheets
4 of 15
  • They have won 9 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 30 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Deportivo Riestra at home only, Talleres Cordoba away only.

Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: Deportivo Riestra 1 · draws 1 · Talleres Cordoba 1.

Deportivo RiestraDrawsTalleres Cordoba
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-19Talleres Cordoba2-0Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina
2025-08-31Talleres Cordoba0-1Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina
2025-02-21Deportivo Riestra0-0Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina

Other Clausura - 15 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Deportivo Riestra to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Deportivo Riestra
Our pick: Deportivo Riestra to win 18+ Bet Now