Huracan vs Tigre preview
In the Liga Profesional Argentina, Huracan faces Tigre with a 1X2 probability of Huracan at 45%, Tigre at 24%, and a draw at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 14% of the time according to our model. Huracan's expected goals stand at 1.34, while Tigre's is lower at 0.85.
Huracan has shown better recent form with 3 wins in their last 6 matches, while Tigre has lost 6 consecutive games. The model indicates a 37% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance for both teams to score. These figures suggest that while Huracan is favored, unexpected performances from Tigre could alter the outcome.
Huracan vs Tigre: model vs market
| Source | Huracan | Draw | Tigre |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 32% | 26% |
| Market | 43% | 32% | 24% |
| Published | 43% | 32% | 25% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.24 vs 0.93.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Huracan vs Tigre odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Huracan, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-21.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huracan | 2.13 | 2.17 | +0.04 |
| Draw | 2.90 | 2.90 | +0.00 |
| Tigre | 3.90 | 3.87 | -0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Huracan and Tigre expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.16
- Attack rating (Huracan / Tigre)
- 0.84 / 0.93
- Defence rating (Huracan / Tigre)
- 1.10 / 1.29
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Huracan vs Tigre score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Huracan goals. Columns: Tigre goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Huracan vs Tigre goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Huracan vs Tigre
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Huracan | 43% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.11 | |
| Tigre | 25% | 4.03 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37% | 2.72 |
| Under 2.5 | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.26 |
| No | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Huracan or draw) | 75% | 1.33 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| X2 (draw or Tigre) | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Handicap -1 | Huracan win by 2+ | 19% | 5.19 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Huracan and Tigre recent form
Huracan
3W 0D 3L
Tigre
0W 1D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Huracan at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-4
- Win rate
- 47%
- Goals for / match
- 1.13
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 15
- They have won 11 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tigre away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-6-7
- Win rate
- 13%
- Goals for / match
- 1.07
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 15
- They have won 7 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Huracan at home only, Tigre away only.
Huracan vs Tigre head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Huracan 2 · draws 1 · Tigre 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Tigre | 1-1 | Huracan | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-08-08 | Tigre | 0-1 | Huracan | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-02-07 | Huracan | 2-0 | Tigre | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Other Clausura - 15 fixtures
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P. 2026-10-30
- Racing Club v Aldosivi — match page 2026-10-31
- Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central 2026-10-31
- Defensa Y Justicia v Independiente — match page 2026-10-31
- Deportivo Riestra v Talleres Cordoba — match page 2026-10-31
- Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Estudiantes L.P. v Instituto Cordoba — match page 2026-11-01
- Boca Juniors vs River Plate — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Huracan, previous: Rosario Central vs Huracan: odds and pick
- Tigre, previous: Tigre v Atletico Tucuman analysis