Updated

Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 15

Estudiantes L.P. vs Instituto Cordoba

· Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata

Alin prediction Estudiantes L.P. to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Estudiantes L.P.DrawInstituto Cordoba
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Estudiantes L.P. is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Estudiantes L.P.2.18 Draw3.06 Instituto Cordoba3.95

Price as of

Expected return at 2.18: -11.6% per unit staked

18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 7 bookmakers, each at its own last update; the highlighted price is our pick.

Estudiantes L.P. vs Instituto Cordoba preview

In the Liga Profesional Argentina, Estudiantes L.P. has a 41% chance to win against Instituto Cordoba, who has a 28% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 10% probability. Estudiantes L.P. has struggled recently, recording a D-L-D-D-W-L form, while Instituto Cordoba has performed better with a W-D-W-W-W-L record.

The match could see fewer goals than expected, as our model predicts Over 2.5 goals at just 39% and both teams to score at 46%. Expected goals show Estudiantes L.P. at 1.03 and Instituto Cordoba at 1.21, indicating a close contest. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.

Estudiantes L.P. vs Instituto Cordoba: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceEstudiantes L.P.DrawInstituto Cordoba
Model30%31%39%
Market44%32%24%
Published41%32%28%
Edge-4%0%+4%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.18, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Estudiantes L.P. vs Instituto Cordoba odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Estudiantes L.P., 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.

Opened 2.11Now 2.11 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Estudiantes L.P.2.112.11+0.00
Draw2.952.95+0.00
Instituto Cordoba3.843.84+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Estudiantes L.P. and Instituto Cordoba expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.03Estudiantes L.P.
1.21Instituto Cordoba
Total expected goals
2.24
Attack rating (Estudiantes L.P. / Instituto Cordoba)
1.00 / 1.52
Defence rating (Estudiantes L.P. / Instituto Cordoba)
0.88 / 0.90

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Estudiantes L.P. vs Instituto Cordoba score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 12.0% 11.6% 7.8% 3.2% 1.2% 1 9.6% 14.6% 8.0% 3.2% 1.3% 2 5.6% 6.8% 4.1% 1.7% 0.7% 3 1.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 4+ 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: Estudiantes L.P. goals. Columns: Instituto Cordoba goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Estudiantes L.P. vs Instituto Cordoba goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%
Over 1.5 67%
Over 2.5 39%
Over 3.5 19%
Both teams to score
46%
No goals (0–0)
12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Estudiantes L.P. vs Instituto Cordoba

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Estudiantes L.P.41%2.47
Draw32%3.17
Instituto Cordoba28%3.58
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539%2.58
Under 2.561%1.63
Both teams to scoreYes46%2.15
No54%1.87
Double chance1X (Estudiantes L.P. or draw)72%1.39
12 (either side)68%1.46
X2 (draw or Instituto Cordoba)59%1.68
Handicap -1Estudiantes L.P. win by 2+12%8.52
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Estudiantes L.P. and Instituto Cordoba recent form

Estudiantes L.P. 1W 3D 2L
Instituto Cordoba 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Estudiantes L.P. at home

Record (W-D-L)
9-2-5
Win rate
56%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
0.62
Clean sheets
8 of 16
  • They have won 13 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 13 of 30 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Instituto Cordoba away

Record (W-D-L)
6-3-6
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
0.93
Clean sheets
6 of 15
  • They have won 15 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Estudiantes L.P. at home only, Instituto Cordoba away only.

Estudiantes L.P. vs Instituto Cordoba head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Estudiantes L.P. 1 · draws 0 · Instituto Cordoba 0.

Estudiantes L.P.DrawsInstituto Cordoba
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-18Instituto Cordoba0-1Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina

Other Clausura - 15 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Estudiantes L.P. to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Estudiantes L.P.
Our pick: Estudiantes L.P. to win 18+ Bet Now