Independ. Rivadavia vs Banfield preview
Independ. Rivadavia has a 60% chance to win against Banfield, who has an 18% chance, with the most likely scoreline being 2-1 at 9%. The model predicts 63% for Over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
Independ. Rivadavia's recent form shows D-L-D-W-D-W, while Banfield has D-L-W-D-D-D. The expected goals are 1.78 for Independ. Rivadavia and 1.48 for Banfield. Despite the favorable numbers for Independ. Rivadavia, a draw or a Banfield win could change the outcome, as they have 1 win and 2 draws in their last 3 encounters. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Independ. Rivadavia vs Banfield: model vs market
| Source | Independ. Rivadavia | Draw | Banfield |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 25% | 31% |
| Market | 65% | 22% | 13% |
| Published | 60% | 23% | 18% |
| Edge | -5% | +1% | +5% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 1.48.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.47, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Independ. Rivadavia and Banfield expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.26
- Attack rating (Independ. Rivadavia / Banfield)
- 1.22 / 1.10
- Defence rating (Independ. Rivadavia / Banfield)
- 1.49 / 1.27
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Independ. Rivadavia vs Banfield score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Independ. Rivadavia goals. Columns: Banfield goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Independ. Rivadavia vs Banfield goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Independ. Rivadavia vs Banfield
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Independ. Rivadavia | 60% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.37 | |
| Banfield | 18% | 5.69 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63% | 1.58 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 2.71 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.53 |
| No | 35% | 2.87 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Independ. Rivadavia or draw) | 82% | 1.21 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Banfield) | 40% | 2.47 | |
| Handicap -1 | Independ. Rivadavia win by 2+ | 24% | 4.15 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Independ. Rivadavia and Banfield recent form
Independ. Rivadavia
2W 3D 1L
Banfield
1W 4D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Independ. Rivadavia at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-3-3
- Win rate
- 62%
- Goals for / match
- 2.12
- Goals against / match
- 1.31
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 16
- They have won 15 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Banfield away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-9
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.93
- Goals against / match
- 1.47
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 15
- They have won 8 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Independ. Rivadavia at home only, Banfield away only.
Independ. Rivadavia vs Banfield head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Independ. Rivadavia 0 · draws 2 · Banfield 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Banfield | 0-0 | Independ. Rivadavia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-10-18 | Independ. Rivadavia | 1-2 | Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-04-11 | Banfield | 1-1 | Independ. Rivadavia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Other Clausura - 15 fixtures
- Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Estudiantes L.P. v Instituto Cordoba — match page 2026-11-01
- Boca Juniors vs River Plate — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Belgrano Cordoba vs Barracas Central 2026-11-01
- Newells Old Boys v Union Santa Fe — match page 2026-11-01
- Lanus vs Gimnasia M. 2026-11-01
- Platense vs Central Cordoba de Santiago — team news & stats 2026-11-02
- Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos JRS 2026-11-03
Before and after this match
- Independ. Rivadavia, previous: Argentinos JRS – Independ. Rivadavia, 2026-10-27
- Banfield, previous: Banfield – Lanus, 2026-10-24
- Banfield, next: Banfield vs Boca Juniors prediction