FC Urartu vs Van preview
In the Armenia Premier League, FC Urartu has a 63% chance to win against Van, who has only a 14% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with FC Urartu's expected goals of 1.96 compared to Van's 0.82. This suggests a strong performance from Urartu.
However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. While there is a 53% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a nearly even 49% for both teams to score, Van's recent form shows inconsistency with 2 wins in their last 6 matches. If Van can improve their scoring, the outcome could differ from the prediction.
FC Urartu vs Van: model vs market
| Source | FC Urartu | Draw | Van |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63% | 23% | 14% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 63% | 23% | 14% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.82.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
FC Urartu and Van expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.78
- Attack rating (FC Urartu / Van)
- 1.00 / 0.66
- Defence rating (FC Urartu / Van)
- 1.04 / 1.31
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Urartu vs Van score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Urartu goals. Columns: Van goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Urartu vs Van goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Urartu vs Van
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Urartu | 63% | 1.59 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.35 | |
| Van | 14% | 7.16 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.04 |
| No | 51% | 1.96 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Urartu or draw) | 86% | 1.16 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Van) | 37% | 2.71 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Urartu win by 2+ | 39% | 2.56 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Urartu and Van recent form
FC Urartu
2W 2D 2L
Van
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Urartu at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-1
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Van away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Urartu at home only, Van away only.
FC Urartu vs Van head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: FC Urartu 3 · draws 0 · Van 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | FC Urartu | 2-0 | Van | Armenia Premier League |
| 2026-04-10 | Van | 1-2 | FC Urartu | Armenia Premier League |
| 2025-08-15 | Van | 0-2 | FC Urartu | Armenia Premier League |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Alashkert vs Syunik 2026-10-16
- Gandzasar v Sardarapat — match page 2026-10-16
- Ararat vs Shirak 2026-10-17
- BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- FC Noah v Pyunik Yerevan — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- FC Urartu, previous: FC Urartu vs Ararat: odds and pick
- Van, previous: Van – Gandzasar, 2026-10-10