Pyunik Yerevan vs Gandzasar preview
In the Armenia Premier League fixture, Pyunik Yerevan holds a strong 91% probability to win against Gandzasar, who has only a 2% chance. The most likely scoreline is 3-0, with a 13% prediction from our model. Pyunik Yerevan has shown solid recent form with 4 wins and 2 draws, while Gandzasar is struggling, having lost all 6 of their last matches.
The model also suggests a high chance of Over 2.5 goals at 78%, indicating a potentially high-scoring game. However, the 39% likelihood of both teams to score means Gandzasar could fail to contribute, which would affect the outcome of the goal predictions.
Pyunik Yerevan vs Gandzasar: model vs market
| Source | Pyunik Yerevan | Draw | Gandzasar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 90% | 8% | 2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 90% | 8% | 2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.45 vs 0.52.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Pyunik Yerevan and Gandzasar expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.98
- Attack rating (Pyunik Yerevan / Gandzasar)
- 1.47 / 0.62
- Defence rating (Pyunik Yerevan / Gandzasar)
- 0.71 / 1.54
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Pyunik Yerevan vs Gandzasar score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Pyunik Yerevan goals. Columns: Gandzasar goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Pyunik Yerevan vs Gandzasar goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 40%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Pyunik Yerevan vs Gandzasar
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pyunik Yerevan | 90% | 1.11 |
| Draw | 8% | 12.78 | |
| Gandzasar | 2% | 42.18 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76% | 1.32 |
| Under 2.5 | 24% | 4.14 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40% | 2.51 |
| No | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Pyunik Yerevan or draw) | 98% | 1.02 |
| 12 (either side) | 92% | 1.08 | |
| X2 (draw or Gandzasar) | 10% | 9.81 | |
| Handicap -1 | Pyunik Yerevan win by 2+ | 76% | 1.32 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Pyunik Yerevan and Gandzasar recent form
Pyunik Yerevan
3W 3D 0L
Gandzasar
0W 0D 6L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Pyunik Yerevan at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gandzasar away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 9 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Pyunik Yerevan at home only, Gandzasar away only.
Pyunik Yerevan vs Gandzasar head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Pyunik Yerevan 3 · draws 0 · Gandzasar 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | Gandzasar | 0-2 | Pyunik Yerevan | Armenia Premier League |
| 2025-10-25 | Pyunik Yerevan | 2-0 | Gandzasar | Armenia Premier League |
| 2025-09-27 | Gandzasar | 0-1 | Pyunik Yerevan | Armenia Premier League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Sardarapat vs FC Urartu — team news & stats 2026-10-22
- Van vs Ararat 2026-10-23
- Shirak vs Alashkert — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Syunik v BKMA — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Pyunik Yerevan, previous: FC Noah vs Pyunik Yerevan prediction
- Gandzasar, previous: Gandzasar – Sardarapat, 2026-10-16