Syunik vs BKMA Prediction & Betting Tips 25/10/2026

Syunik vs BKMA preview

In the Armenia Premier League fixture between Syunik and BKMA, the 1X2 probabilities show a close contest with Syunik at 35%, a draw at 30%, and BKMA slightly ahead at 36%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 9% chance according to our model.

Both teams to score has a probability of 51%, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 44%. Syunik's expected goals are 1.22, while BKMA's are 1.24, indicating a tight match. However, recent form could influence the outcome, as Syunik has lost 4 of their last 6 matches, while BKMA has won 2 of their last 3.

Syunik vs BKMA: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Syunik	Draw	BKMA
Model	35%	30%	36%
Market	—	—	—
Published	35%	30%	36%
Edge	—	—	—

Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Syunik and BKMA expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.22Syunik

1.24BKMA

Total expected goals: 2.46
Attack rating (Syunik / BKMA): 0.66 / 0.74
Defence rating (Syunik / BKMA): 1.40 / 1.21

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Syunik vs BKMA score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 9.9% 9.3% 6.6% 2.7% 1.1% 1 9.1% 14.2% 8.0% 3.3% 1.3% 2 6.4% 7.9% 4.9% 2.0% 0.8% 3 2.6% 3.2% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 4+ 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: Syunik goals. Columns: BKMA goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Syunik vs BKMA goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 90%

Over 1.5 72%

Over 2.5 44%

Over 3.5 23%

Both teams to score: 51%
No goals (0–0): 10%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Syunik vs BKMA

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Syunik	35%	2.89
	Draw	30%	3.35
	BKMA	36%	2.81
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	44%	2.25
	Under 2.5	56%	1.80
Both teams to score	Yes	51%	1.95
	No	49%	2.05
Double chance	1X (Syunik or draw)	64%	1.55
	12 (either side)	70%	1.43
	X2 (draw or BKMA)	65%	1.53
Handicap -1	BKMA win by 2+	16%	6.27
	Push (exactly one goal)	20%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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