Brisbane Roar vs Auckland Prediction & Betting Tips 30/10/2026

Brisbane Roar vs Auckland preview

In the upcoming match between Brisbane Roar and Auckland, the 1X2 probabilities show Brisbane Roar at 26%, a draw at 26%, and Auckland at 47%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, with a 10% chance.

Brisbane Roar has struggled recently, recording 1 win in their last 6 matches (W-L-L-D-D-L), while Auckland is in better form with 3 wins in their last 6 (W-W-W-D-D-D). Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both forecasted at 56%, which could indicate a high-scoring match. However, if Brisbane Roar improves their form, they might challenge Auckland's dominance.

Brisbane Roar vs Auckland: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Brisbane Roar	Draw	Auckland
Model	29%	24%	47%
Market	33%	28%	40%
Published	32%	27%	41%
Edge	-1%	-1%	+2%

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.44.
Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.44, recorded 2026-10-26 — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +1.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Brisbane Roar vs Auckland odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Auckland, 9 snapshots since 2026-10-22.

Opened 2.10Now 2.38 +0.28

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Brisbane Roar	3.30	2.90	-0.40
Draw	3.50	3.40	-0.10
Auckland	2.10	2.38	+0.28

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Brisbane Roar and Auckland expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.44Brisbane Roar

1.88Auckland

Total expected goals: 3.32
Attack rating (Brisbane Roar / Auckland): 0.93 / 1.23
Defence rating (Brisbane Roar / Auckland): 1.17 / 1.02

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Brisbane Roar vs Auckland score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.6% 5.8% 6.4% 4.0% 2.9% 1 4.2% 10.8% 9.2% 5.8% 4.2% 2 3.8% 7.1% 6.6% 4.2% 3.0% 3 1.8% 3.4% 3.2% 2.0% 1.4% 4+ 0.9% 1.7% 1.6% 1.0% 0.7%

Rows: Brisbane Roar goals. Columns: Auckland goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Brisbane Roar vs Auckland goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%

Over 1.5 85%

Over 2.5 65%

Over 3.5 42%

Both teams to score: 66%
No goals (0–0): 5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Brisbane Roar vs Auckland

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Brisbane Roar	32%	3.16
	Draw	27%	3.72
	Auckland	41%	2.41
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	65%	1.55
	Under 2.5	35%	2.82
Both teams to score	Yes	66%	1.52
	No	34%	2.92
Double chance	1X (Brisbane Roar or draw)	59%	1.71
	12 (either side)	73%	1.37
	X2 (draw or Auckland)	68%	1.46
Handicap -1	Auckland win by 2+	27%	3.75
	Push (exactly one goal)	20%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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