Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland: model vs market

• Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 0.87.
• Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
• The market prices Auckland below the model: +28.8 percentage points of edge.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.87, recorded 2026-10-18 — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Auckland, 7 snapshots since 2026-10-15.

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Western Sydney Wanderers and Auckland expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

Total expected goals

2.87

Attack rating (Western Sydney Wanderers / Auckland)

0.77 / 1.21

Defence rating (Western Sydney Wanderers / Auckland)

1.25 / 0.75

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

Rows: Western Sydney Wanderers goals. Columns: Auckland goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Both teams to score

51%

No goals (0–0)

7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

Western Sydney Wanderers and Auckland recent form

Western Sydney Wanderers DLLLLL 0W 1D 5L

Auckland WWWDDD 3W 3D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.