Ried vs Austria Vienna preview
In the Austria Bundesliga fixture between Ried and Austria Vienna, Ried has a 44% chance of winning compared to Austria Vienna's 31%. Our model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-1, which occurs with a 9% probability. The expected goals suggest Ried will score 2.15 while Austria Vienna is projected to score 1.43.
Both teams to score stands at 68%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 69%. However, Ried's recent form shows some inconsistency with a record of W-W-D-W-L-W, while Austria Vienna has struggled with L-D-W-W-L-L. This recent form could impact the outcome, potentially leading to a different result than predicted.
Ried vs Austria Vienna: model vs market
| Source | Ried | Draw | Austria Vienna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 22% | 24% |
| Market | 41% | 25% | 34% |
| Published | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| Edge | +13% | -3% | -10% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.15 vs 1.42.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Ried below the model: +12.7 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.36, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Ried vs Austria Vienna odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Ried, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-10.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ried | 2.29 | 2.30 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 3.41 | 3.70 | +0.29 |
| Austria Vienna | 2.88 | 2.71 | -0.16 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Ried and Austria Vienna expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.57
- Attack rating (Ried / Austria Vienna)
- 1.38 / 1.08
- Defence rating (Ried / Austria Vienna)
- 1.05 / 1.03
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ried vs Austria Vienna score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ried goals. Columns: Austria Vienna goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ried vs Austria Vienna goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ried vs Austria Vienna
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ried | 44% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.08 | |
| Austria Vienna | 32% | 3.14 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 | 31% | 3.25 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.47 |
| No | 32% | 3.12 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ried or draw) | 68% | 1.47 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Austria Vienna) | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ried win by 2+ | 33% | 3.06 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ried and Austria Vienna recent form
Ried
4W 1D 1L
Austria Vienna
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ried at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Austria Vienna away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ried at home only, Austria Vienna away only.
Ried vs Austria Vienna head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Ried 0 · draws 0 · Austria Vienna 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Ried | 0-2 | Austria Vienna | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-09-20 | Austria Vienna | 3-2 | Ried | Austria Bundesliga |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg 2026-10-16
- Austria Lustenau vs Lask Linz 2026-10-17
- Red Bull Salzburg v SCR Altach — match page 2026-10-18
- Wolfsberger AC v WSG Wattens — match page 2026-10-18
- Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK — team news & stats 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Ried, previous: WSG Wattens vs Ried prediction
- Ried, next: Lask Linz vs Ried prediction
- Austria Vienna, previous: Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz prediction
- Austria Vienna, next: Austria Vienna vs TSV Hartberg: odds and pick