Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach preview
In the upcoming match between Red Bull Salzburg and SCR Altach, the 1X2 probabilities show Red Bull Salzburg at 70%, while SCR Altach stands at 12%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0, occurring with a 13% chance. Red Bull Salzburg has an expected goals figure of 2.28 compared to SCR Altach's 0.71, indicating a significant attacking advantage.
However, recent form could influence the outcome. Red Bull Salzburg has drawn twice and won three of their last six matches, while SCR Altach has only one win in their last six, with three losses. Additionally, the head-to-head record shows Red Bull Salzburg has not won in their last three encounters, with 2 draws and 1 loss against SCR Altach. This context could challenge the expected predictions.
Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach: model vs market
| Source | Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | SCR Altach |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72% | 19% | 9% |
| Market | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| Published | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| Edge | +4% | 0% | -4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 0.71.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Red Bull Salzburg below the model: +4.3 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.40, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Red Bull Salzburg, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-10.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Bull Salzburg | 1.31 | 1.37 | +0.06 |
| Draw | 5.30 | 4.95 | -0.35 |
| SCR Altach | 8.03 | 6.93 | -1.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Red Bull Salzburg and SCR Altach expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.00
- Attack rating (Red Bull Salzburg / SCR Altach)
- 1.46 / 1.17
- Defence rating (Red Bull Salzburg / SCR Altach)
- 0.48 / 1.03
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Red Bull Salzburg goals. Columns: SCR Altach goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 69% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.33 | |
| SCR Altach | 12% | 8.10 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.36 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.15 |
| No | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Red Bull Salzburg or draw) | 88% | 1.14 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.23 | |
| X2 (draw or SCR Altach) | 31% | 3.21 | |
| Handicap -1 | Red Bull Salzburg win by 2+ | 49% | 2.03 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Red Bull Salzburg and SCR Altach recent form
Red Bull Salzburg
4W 2D 0L
SCR Altach
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Red Bull Salzburg at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
SCR Altach away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Red Bull Salzburg at home only, SCR Altach away only.
Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Red Bull Salzburg 0 · draws 2 · SCR Altach 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Red Bull Salzburg | 0-1 | SCR Altach | Austria Cup |
| 2025-11-30 | SCR Altach | 1-1 | Red Bull Salzburg | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-10-19 | Red Bull Salzburg | 2-2 | SCR Altach | Austria Bundesliga |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg 2026-10-16
- Austria Lustenau vs Lask Linz 2026-10-17
- Ried vs Austria Vienna — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Wolfsberger AC v WSG Wattens — match page 2026-10-18
- Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK — team news & stats 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Red Bull Salzburg, previous: Red Bull Salzburg v AC Milan analysis
- Red Bull Salzburg, next: Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: odds and pick
- SCR Altach, previous: SCR Altach – Wolfsberger AC, 2026-10-11
- SCR Altach, next: Grazer AK vs SCR Altach: odds and pick