Updated

Austria Bundesliga · Matchday 9

Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens

· Lavanttal-Arena, Wolfsberg

Alin prediction Wolfsberger AC to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

7% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Wolfsberger ACDrawWSG Wattens
Best market odds
Wolfsberger AC2.44 Draw3.80 WSG Wattens2.88
Bet on Wolfsberger AC

Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens preview

Wolfsberger AC faces WSG Wattens with a 39% chance of winning compared to 36% for Wattens. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 7% probability. Both teams to score stands at 65%, indicating a strong likelihood of goals from both sides.

Wolfsberger AC's recent form shows 4 games without a win (L-L-L-D-L-D), while WSG Wattens has improved with 3 wins in their last 4 matches (L-L-D-W-W-W). The expected goals suggest that WSG Wattens may have a slight edge, with 1.78 expected compared to Wolfsberger's 1.47. This could affect the outcome, especially if Wolfsberger cannot improve their form.

Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceWolfsberger ACDrawWSG Wattens
Model31%25%44%
Market40%26%34%
Published38%26%36%
Edge-9%-1%+10%

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.44, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.

Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Wolfsberger AC, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-10.

Opened 2.34Now 2.31 -0.02
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Wolfsberger AC2.342.31-0.02
Draw3.573.56-0.01
WSG Wattens2.732.76+0.03

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Wolfsberger AC and WSG Wattens expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.47Wolfsberger AC
1.78WSG Wattens
Total expected goals
3.25
Attack rating (Wolfsberger AC / WSG Wattens)
0.92 / 1.09
Defence rating (Wolfsberger AC / WSG Wattens)
1.30 / 1.06

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.9% 5.9% 6.1% 3.7% 2.4% 1 4.7% 11.1% 9.0% 5.4% 3.6% 2 4.2% 7.4% 6.6% 3.9% 2.6% 3 2.0% 3.6% 3.3% 1.9% 1.3% 4+ 1.0% 1.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.7%

Rows: Wolfsberger AC goals. Columns: WSG Wattens goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 63%
Over 3.5 41%
Both teams to score
65%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Wolfsberger AC38%2.64
Draw26%3.87
WSG Wattens36%2.75
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563%1.58
Under 2.537%2.71
Both teams to scoreYes65%1.54
No35%2.86
Double chance1X (Wolfsberger AC or draw)64%1.57
12 (either side)74%1.35
X2 (draw or WSG Wattens)62%1.61
Handicap -1Wolfsberger AC win by 2+15%6.79
Push (exactly one goal)16%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
# Betting site Welcome offer Why it is here Visit
1 Mozzartbet 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.
  • M-PESA Paybill 290059
  • Daily Jackpot
  • Live betting
Get offer
2 Betwinner First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • Live betting around the clock
  • 30+ markets on live events
Get offer
3 22Bet 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.
  • M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits
  • Live in-play betting
  • Android and iOS app
Get offer
4 Melbet 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • 30+ markets on live events
  • 24/7 customer support
Get offer

Wolfsberger AC and WSG Wattens recent form

Wolfsberger AC 0W 2D 4L
WSG Wattens 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Wolfsberger AC at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.25
Goals against / match
1.75
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.

WSG Wattens away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Wolfsberger AC at home only, WSG Wattens away only.

Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens head-to-head

Last 4 meetings: Wolfsberger AC 1 · draws 2 · WSG Wattens 1.

Wolfsberger ACDrawsWSG Wattens
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-16Wolfsberger AC2-0WSG WattensAustria Bundesliga
2026-04-04WSG Wattens3-1Wolfsberger ACAustria Bundesliga
2025-11-02Wolfsberger AC0-0WSG WattensAustria Bundesliga
2025-08-31WSG Wattens1-1Wolfsberger ACAustria Bundesliga

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Wolfsberger AC to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Wolfsberger AC