Kapaz vs Imisli FK preview
In the upcoming match between Kapaz and Imisli FK, the 1X2 probabilities show Kapaz at 42%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 13%. Kapaz has a recent form of W-D-W-D-W-L, while Imisli FK has struggled with W-W-L-L-L-L.
However, the match could see a different outcome if Imisli FK improves their performance, as they have won 2 of the last 3 encounters against Kapaz. The expected goals are 1.23 for Kapaz and 0.91 for Imisli FK, indicating a potential for a low-scoring game. With Over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams to score at 44%, goals may be limited in this fixture.
Kapaz vs Imisli FK: model vs market
| Source | Kapaz | Draw | Imisli FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 32% | 26% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 42% | 32% | 26% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.23 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Kapaz and Imisli FK expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.14
- Attack rating (Kapaz / Imisli FK)
- 0.85 / 0.79
- Defence rating (Kapaz / Imisli FK)
- 0.92 / 1.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kapaz vs Imisli FK score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kapaz goals. Columns: Imisli FK goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kapaz vs Imisli FK goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kapaz vs Imisli FK
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kapaz | 42% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.15 | |
| Imisli FK | 26% | 3.84 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.76 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.57 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.29 |
| No | 56% | 1.77 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kapaz or draw) | 74% | 1.35 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.46 | |
| X2 (draw or Imisli FK) | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kapaz win by 2+ | 19% | 5.17 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Kapaz and Imisli FK recent form
Kapaz
3W 2D 1L
Imisli FK
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kapaz at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Imisli FK away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kapaz at home only, Imisli FK away only.
Kapaz vs Imisli FK head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Kapaz 0 · draws 1 · Imisli FK 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Kapaz | 0-1 | Imisli FK | Premyer Liqa |
| 2026-02-09 | Imisli FK | 0-0 | Kapaz | Premyer Liqa |
| 2025-10-24 | Kapaz | 0-3 | Imisli FK | Premyer Liqa |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Turan vs Sabah FA 2026-10-30
- Araz vs Zira — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Qabala vs Qarabag 2026-10-31
- Şamaxı FK v Neftchi Baku — match page 2026-11-01
- Sumqayıt v Safa Baku — match page 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Kapaz, previous: Safa Baku vs Kapaz prediction
- Imisli FK, previous: Imisli FK – Şamaxı FK, 2026-10-25