Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden preview
In the Jupiler Pro League fixture between Club Brugge KV and St. Truiden, the 1X2 probabilities suggest a strong likelihood for Club Brugge KV at 71%, with a predicted scoreline of 2-1 at 8%. The model also indicates a high chance for Over 2.5 goals at 79% and both teams to score at 70%.
However, St. Truiden's recent form shows some inconsistency, with 3 wins in their last 6 matches. This could impact their performance against a dominant Club Brugge KV, who have won 5 of their last 6 games. If St. Truiden can improve their attacking efficiency, they might challenge the expected goals of 2.88 for Club Brugge KV and 1.32 for themselves.
Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden: model vs market
| Source | Club Brugge KV | Draw | St. Truiden |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| Market | 71% | 16% | 12% |
| Published | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| Edge | -2% | 0% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.88 vs 1.32.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.34, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.
Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Club Brugge KV, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge KV | 1.30 | 1.30 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 5.70 | 5.70 | +0.00 |
| St. Truiden | 7.50 | 7.50 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Club Brugge KV and St. Truiden expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.20
- Attack rating (Club Brugge KV / St. Truiden)
- 1.67 / 1.38
- Defence rating (Club Brugge KV / St. Truiden)
- 0.76 / 1.15
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Club Brugge KV goals. Columns: St. Truiden goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 70%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Brugge KV | 71% | 1.41 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.10 | |
| St. Truiden | 13% | 7.77 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79% | 1.27 |
| Under 2.5 | 21% | 4.75 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70% | 1.43 |
| No | 30% | 3.31 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Club Brugge KV or draw) | 87% | 1.15 |
| 12 (either side) | 84% | 1.20 | |
| X2 (draw or St. Truiden) | 29% | 3.42 | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Brugge KV win by 2+ | 50% | 2.01 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Club Brugge KV and St. Truiden recent form
Club Brugge KV
5W 0D 1L
St. Truiden
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Club Brugge KV at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
St. Truiden away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Club Brugge KV at home only, St. Truiden away only.
Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Club Brugge KV 3 · draws 0 · St. Truiden 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Club Brugge KV | 2-0 | St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2026-04-11 | St. Truiden | 1-2 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2025-12-06 | St. Truiden | 3-2 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2025-09-21 | Club Brugge KV | 2-0 | St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
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- Antwerp vs Charleroi 2026-10-24
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- RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem 2026-10-24
- Genk v Standard Liege — match page 2026-10-25
- Gent v Anderlecht — match page 2026-10-25
- Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Club Brugge KV, previous: Club Brugge KV v Lens analysis
- Club Brugge KV, next: PSV Eindhoven – Club Brugge KV, 2026-11-04
- St. Truiden, previous: FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden prediction
- St. Truiden, next: St. Truiden vs Brann prediction