Updated

Jupiler Pro League · Matchday 9

RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem

· Easi Arena

Alin prediction Zulte Waregem to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
RAAL La LouvièreDrawZulte Waregem

RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem preview

In the Jupiler Pro League fixture between RAAL La Louvière and Zulte Waregem, the 1X2 probabilities show Zulte Waregem at 52% compared to RAAL La Louvière's 24%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 10% chance. The model also indicates a 61% probability for Over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance for both teams to score.

Zulte Waregem has a recent form of W-L-L-L-W-D, while RAAL La Louvière has W-L-L-W-L-D. The expected goals are 1.24 for RAAL La Louvière and 1.93 for Zulte Waregem. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.

RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceRAAL La LouvièreDrawZulte Waregem
Model24%24%52%
Market———
Published24%24%52%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.24.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

RAAL La Louvière and Zulte Waregem expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.24RAAL La Louvière
1.93Zulte Waregem
Total expected goals
3.17
Attack rating (RAAL La Louvière / Zulte Waregem)
1.01 / 1.15
Defence rating (RAAL La Louvière / Zulte Waregem)
1.34 / 0.82

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.2% 7.1% 7.8% 5.0% 3.7% 1 4.2% 11.1% 9.7% 6.2% 4.7% 2 3.2% 6.3% 6.0% 3.9% 2.9% 3 1.3% 2.6% 2.5% 1.6% 1.2% 4+ 0.5% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.5%

Rows: RAAL La Louvière goals. Columns: Zulte Waregem goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 61%
Over 3.5 39%
Both teams to score
62%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2RAAL La Louvière24%4.25
Draw24%4.14
Zulte Waregem52%1.91
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561%1.63
Under 2.539%2.59
Both teams to scoreYes62%1.62
No38%2.62
Double chance1X (RAAL La Louvière or draw)48%2.10
12 (either side)76%1.32
X2 (draw or Zulte Waregem)76%1.31
Handicap -1Zulte Waregem win by 2+31%3.25
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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RAAL La Louvière and Zulte Waregem recent form

RAAL La Louvière 2W 1D 3L
Zulte Waregem 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

RAAL La Louvière at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.75
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Zulte Waregem away

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.25
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: RAAL La Louvière at home only, Zulte Waregem away only.

RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem head-to-head

Last 4 meetings: RAAL La Louvière 0 · draws 2 · Zulte Waregem 2.

RAAL La LouvièreDrawsZulte Waregem
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-26Zulte Waregem4-0RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
2026-04-19RAAL La Louvière0-2Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
2025-12-13Zulte Waregem2-2RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
2025-10-04RAAL La Louvière0-0Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Zulte Waregem to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Zulte Waregem