KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren preview
KVC Westerlo faces SK Beveren with a 47% chance of winning compared to Beveren's 30%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs with an 8% probability. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals each have a 73% likelihood, indicating a strong potential for an attacking match.
However, the recent form shows KVC Westerlo is on a five-match winning streak, while SK Beveren has mixed results with two losses in their last three games. This disparity could influence the outcome, making it possible for Beveren to perform better than expected despite their recent struggles. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.
KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren: model vs market
| Source | KVC Westerlo | Draw | SK Beveren |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47% | 22% | 30% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 47% | 22% | 30% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.12 vs 1.69.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
KVC Westerlo and SK Beveren expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.81
- Attack rating (KVC Westerlo / SK Beveren)
- 1.49 / 1.16
- Defence rating (KVC Westerlo / SK Beveren)
- 1.16 / 0.95
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: KVC Westerlo goals. Columns: SK Beveren goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 73%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KVC Westerlo | 47% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.47 | |
| SK Beveren | 30% | 3.29 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 | 27% | 3.75 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73% | 1.38 |
| No | 27% | 3.65 | |
| Double chance | 1X (KVC Westerlo or draw) | 70% | 1.44 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or SK Beveren) | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Handicap -1 | KVC Westerlo win by 2+ | 28% | 3.56 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
KVC Westerlo and SK Beveren recent form
KVC Westerlo
5W 1D 0L
SK Beveren
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
KVC Westerlo at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
SK Beveren away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: KVC Westerlo at home only, SK Beveren away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Antwerp vs Charleroi 2026-10-24
- OH Leuven v Lommel United — match page 2026-10-24
- RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- KVC Westerlo, previous: KVC Westerlo vs Patro Eisden: odds and pick
- SK Beveren, previous: SK Beveren vs Habay-la-Neuve prediction