Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Blooming preview
Gualberto Villarroel SJ faces Blooming with a 33% chance of winning for the home side compared to Blooming's 35%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring 11% of the time according to our model. Gualberto Villarroel SJ has struggled recently, recording 1 win in their last 5 matches, while Blooming has drawn in 3 of their last 5 games.
The chances for Over 2.5 goals stand at 38%, and both teams to score is at 46%. Gualberto Villarroel SJ has an expected goals figure of 1.08, while Blooming sits slightly higher at 1.11. These numbers suggest a tight match, but if Gualberto Villarroel SJ can improve their form, they may challenge Blooming more effectively.
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Blooming: model vs market
| Source | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Draw | Blooming |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33% | 32% | 35% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 33% | 32% | 35% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Blooming expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.20
- Attack rating (Gualberto Villarroel SJ / Blooming)
- 0.81 / 0.78
- Defence rating (Gualberto Villarroel SJ / Blooming)
- 1.10 / 0.64
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Blooming score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Gualberto Villarroel SJ goals. Columns: Blooming goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Blooming goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Blooming
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.14 | |
| Blooming | 35% | 2.87 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.66 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.60 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.19 |
| No | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Gualberto Villarroel SJ or draw) | 65% | 1.53 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| X2 (draw or Blooming) | 67% | 1.50 | |
| Handicap -1 | Blooming win by 2+ | 15% | 6.82 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Blooming recent form
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1W 1D 4L
Blooming
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Gualberto Villarroel SJ at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-4-4
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 1.55
- Goals against / match
- 1.64
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 11
- They have won 3 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 21 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
Blooming away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-6
- Win rate
- 10%
- Goals for / match
- 0.90
- Goals against / match
- 1.70
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
- They have won 6 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Gualberto Villarroel SJ at home only, Blooming away only.
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Blooming head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Gualberto Villarroel SJ 0 · draws 1 · Blooming 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Blooming | 1-1 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Bolivia Primera División |
| 2025-09-21 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 1-4 | Blooming | Bolivia Primera División |
| 2025-05-05 | Blooming | 5-1 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Bolivia Primera División |
Other Apertura - 23 fixtures
- San Antonio Bulo Bulo v Real Potosí — match page 2026-10-24
- Independiente Petrolero vs ABB — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Always Ready vs Real Oruro 2026-10-25
- Aurora v Real Tomayapo — match page 2026-10-25
- Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá 2026-10-26
- Bolívar v Universitario de Vinto — match page 2026-10-27
Before and after this match
- Gualberto Villarroel SJ, previous: Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ: odds and pick
- Blooming, previous: Blooming v Independiente Petrolero analysis