Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest preview
In the Bolivia Primera División match between Oriente Petrolero and The Strongest, the 1X2 probabilities show Oriente Petrolero at 49%, while The Strongest sits at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with an expected goals figure of 1.70 for Oriente Petrolero and 1.14 for The Strongest.
Both teams to score has a probability of 57%, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 54%. However, Oriente Petrolero's recent form includes only 1 win in their last 6 matches, which could impact their performance. In contrast, The Strongest has won 6 consecutive games, suggesting they may pose a stronger challenge.
Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest: model vs market
| Source | Oriente Petrolero | Draw | The Strongest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 26% | 25% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 49% | 26% | 25% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.14.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Oriente Petrolero and The Strongest expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.84
- Attack rating (Oriente Petrolero / The Strongest)
- 1.07 / 1.18
- Defence rating (Oriente Petrolero / The Strongest)
- 0.75 / 0.77
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Oriente Petrolero goals. Columns: The Strongest goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oriente Petrolero | 49% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 | |
| The Strongest | 25% | 4.08 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.76 |
| No | 43% | 2.31 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Oriente Petrolero or draw) | 75% | 1.33 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or The Strongest) | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Handicap -1 | Oriente Petrolero win by 2+ | 27% | 3.69 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Oriente Petrolero and The Strongest recent form
Oriente Petrolero
2W 2D 2L
The Strongest
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Oriente Petrolero at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-1-2
- Win rate
- 70%
- Goals for / match
- 2.10
- Goals against / match
- 0.70
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
- They have won 10 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
The Strongest away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-2
- Win rate
- 55%
- Goals for / match
- 1.45
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 11
- They have won 13 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Oriente Petrolero at home only, The Strongest away only.
Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Oriente Petrolero 2 · draws 2 · The Strongest 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Oriente Petrolero | 1-1 | The Strongest | Copa de la División Profesional |
| 2026-08-19 | The Strongest | 2-1 | Oriente Petrolero | Copa de la División Profesional |
| 2026-07-16 | The Strongest | 2-1 | Oriente Petrolero | Bolivia Primera División |
| 2026-03-11 | The Strongest | 3-0 | Oriente Petrolero | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2025-10-31 | The Strongest | 1-2 | Oriente Petrolero | Copa de la División Profesional |
| 2025-10-02 | Oriente Petrolero | 2-2 | The Strongest | Copa de la División Profesional |
| 2025-09-29 | The Strongest | 2-0 | Oriente Petrolero | Bolivia Primera División |
| 2025-05-18 | Oriente Petrolero | 3-2 | The Strongest | Bolivia Primera División |
| 2024-12-17 | The Strongest | 6-2 | Oriente Petrolero | Primera División |
| 2024-05-26 | Oriente Petrolero | 0-1 | The Strongest | Primera División |
Other Apertura - 23 fixtures
- Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Blooming 2026-10-24
- San Antonio Bulo Bulo v Real Potosí — match page 2026-10-24
- Independiente Petrolero vs ABB — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Always Ready vs Real Oruro 2026-10-25
- Aurora v Real Tomayapo — match page 2026-10-25
- Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá 2026-10-26
- Bolívar v Universitario de Vinto — match page 2026-10-27
Before and after this match
- Oriente Petrolero, previous: Guabirá – Oriente Petrolero, 2026-10-18
- Oriente Petrolero, next: Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora: odds and pick
- The Strongest, previous: The Strongest vs Always Ready prediction