Real Tomayapo vs Blooming: model vs market
| Source | Real Tomayapo | Draw | Blooming |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 38% | 31% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 31% | 38% | 31% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Real Tomayapo and Blooming expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.59
- Attack rating (Real Tomayapo / Blooming)
- 0.53 / 0.77
- Defence rating (Real Tomayapo / Blooming)
- 0.80 / 0.72
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Real Tomayapo vs Blooming score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Real Tomayapo goals. Columns: Blooming goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Real Tomayapo vs Blooming goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 31%
- No goals (0–0)
- 22%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Real Tomayapo vs Blooming
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Tomayapo | 31% | 3.24 |
| Draw | 38% | 2.63 | |
| Blooming | 31% | 3.23 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 21% | 4.69 |
| Under 2.5 | 79% | 1.27 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31% | 3.20 |
| No | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Real Tomayapo or draw) | 69% | 1.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 62% | 1.62 | |
| X2 (draw or Blooming) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Handicap -1 | Blooming win by 2+ | 10% | 9.65 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Real Tomayapo and Blooming recent form
Real Tomayapo
1W 1D 4L
Blooming
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Real Tomayapo at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-4-4
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 0.82
- Goals against / match
- 1.09
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 11
- They have won 5 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Blooming away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-7
- Win rate
- 9%
- Goals for / match
- 0.91
- Goals against / match
- 1.73
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 11
- They have won 6 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 0 of 3 penalties (0%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Real Tomayapo at home only, Blooming away only.
Real Tomayapo vs Blooming head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Real Tomayapo 0 · draws 1 · Blooming 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Blooming | 1-0 | Real Tomayapo | Bolivia Primera División |
| 2025-11-22 | Blooming | 2-0 | Real Tomayapo | Bolivia Primera División |
| 2025-06-15 | Real Tomayapo | 2-2 | Blooming | Bolivia Primera División |
Other Apertura - 24 fixtures
- Real Potosí vs Independiente Petrolero — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora 2026-10-31
- Real Oruro v Nacional Potosí — match page 2026-10-31
- ABB vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- The Strongest vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2026-11-01
- Guabirá v Bolívar — match page 2026-11-01
- Universitario de Vinto vs Always Ready — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Real Tomayapo, previous: Aurora v Real Tomayapo analysis
- Blooming, previous: Gualberto Villarroel SJ v Blooming analysis