Blooming vs Oriente Petrolero preview
In the match between Blooming and Oriente Petrolero, the 1X2 probabilities show Blooming at 39%, a draw at 32%, and Oriente Petrolero at 29%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, which occurs 12% of the time according to our model.
While Blooming has a slight edge in recent head-to-head encounters with 2 wins out of the last 3 matches, their recent form is mixed with L-D-L-D-W-L. Oriente Petrolero comes in with better form, having won 3 of their last 6 games. The chances for Over 2.5 goals sit at 36%, and both teams to score is at 44%, indicating potential for a low-scoring game.
Blooming vs Oriente Petrolero: model vs market
| Source | Blooming | Draw | Oriente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 31% | 28% |
| Market | 39% | 27% | 34% |
| Published | 40% | 28% | 32% |
| Edge | 0% | +1% | -1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.40, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Blooming vs Oriente Petrolero odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Blooming, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blooming | 2.30 | 2.29 | -0.00 |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.34 | -0.06 |
| Oriente Petrolero | 2.65 | 2.70 | +0.05 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Blooming and Oriente Petrolero expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.22
- Attack rating (Blooming / Oriente Petrolero)
- 0.82 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Blooming / Oriente Petrolero)
- 0.71 / 0.73
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Blooming vs Oriente Petrolero score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Blooming goals. Columns: Oriente Petrolero goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Blooming vs Oriente Petrolero goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Blooming vs Oriente Petrolero
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blooming | 40% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.55 | |
| Oriente Petrolero | 32% | 3.12 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.62 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.19 |
| No | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Blooming or draw) | 68% | 1.47 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Oriente Petrolero) | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Handicap -1 | Blooming win by 2+ | 19% | 5.36 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Blooming and Oriente Petrolero recent form
Blooming
2W 2D 2L
Oriente Petrolero
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Blooming at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-7-0
- Win rate
- 42%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 12
- They have won 6 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 0 of 3 penalties (0%).
Oriente Petrolero away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-6
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.42
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 12
- They have won 11 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Blooming at home only, Oriente Petrolero away only.
Blooming vs Oriente Petrolero head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Blooming 2 · draws 0 · Oriente Petrolero 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Oriente Petrolero | 0-1 | Blooming | Bolivia Primera División |
| 2025-11-30 | Oriente Petrolero | 3-1 | Blooming | Bolivia Primera División |
| 2025-06-22 | Blooming | 2-1 | Oriente Petrolero | Bolivia Primera División |
Other Apertura - 25 fixtures
- Independiente Petrolero v Real Tomayapo — match page 2026-11-06
- Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Real Oruro — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Always Ready vs ABB 2026-11-07
- Guabirá v San Antonio Bulo Bulo — match page 2026-11-07
- Nacional Potosí vs Real Potosí — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Bolívar vs The Strongest 2026-11-08
- Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto — team news & stats 2026-11-10
Before and after this match
- Blooming, previous: Real Tomayapo – Blooming, 2026-11-02
- Oriente Petrolero, previous: Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora: odds and pick