Guabirá vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo preview
In the fixture between Guabirá and San Antonio Bulo Bulo, Guabirá has a 47% chance of winning compared to 27% for San Antonio Bulo Bulo, with a likely scoreline of 2-1 at 9%. The model also suggests a 57% probability for Over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance for both teams to score.
Guabirá's expected goals stand at 1.71, while San Antonio Bulo Bulo has 1.24. Recent form shows Guabirá with two draws and three losses in their last five matches, while San Antonio Bulo Bulo has three wins and two losses. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating uncertainty in the outcome.
Guabirá vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo: model vs market
| Source | Guabirá | Draw | San Antonio Bulo Bulo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 26% | 28% |
| Market | 60% | 21% | 19% |
| Published | 56% | 22% | 21% |
| Edge | -4% | +1% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 1.25.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Guabirá vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Guabirá, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guabirá | 1.54 | 1.53 | -0.01 |
| Draw | 4.38 | 4.40 | +0.03 |
| San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 4.70 | 4.75 | +0.05 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Guabirá and San Antonio Bulo Bulo expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.91
- Attack rating (Guabirá / San Antonio Bulo Bulo)
- 0.79 / 0.81
- Defence rating (Guabirá / San Antonio Bulo Bulo)
- 1.20 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Guabirá vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Guabirá goals. Columns: San Antonio Bulo Bulo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Guabirá vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Guabirá vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guabirá | 56% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.50 | |
| San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 21% | 4.67 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.70 |
| No | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Guabirá or draw) | 79% | 1.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or San Antonio Bulo Bulo) | 44% | 2.29 | |
| Handicap -1 | Guabirá win by 2+ | 25% | 4.07 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Guabirá and San Antonio Bulo Bulo recent form
Guabirá
1W 1D 4L
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Guabirá at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-4-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.08
- Goals against / match
- 1.08
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 12
- They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
San Antonio Bulo Bulo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-9
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 12
- They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Guabirá at home only, San Antonio Bulo Bulo away only.
Guabirá vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Guabirá 2 · draws 3 · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Guabirá | 2-1 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | Copa de la División Profesional |
| 2026-08-31 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 5-1 | Guabirá | Copa de la División Profesional |
| 2026-05-29 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 1-2 | Guabirá | Bolivia Primera División |
| 2026-02-07 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 0-0 | Guabirá | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| 2026-01-31 | Guabirá | 2-2 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| 2025-11-23 | Guabirá | 1-2 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | Bolivia Primera División |
| 2025-06-14 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 1-1 | Guabirá | Bolivia Primera División |
| 2024-09-25 | Guabirá | 1-2 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | Primera División |
| 2024-05-11 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 3-2 | Guabirá | Primera División |
Other Apertura - 25 fixtures
- Independiente Petrolero v Real Tomayapo — match page 2026-11-06
- Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Real Oruro — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Always Ready vs ABB 2026-11-07
- Nacional Potosí vs Real Potosí — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Bolívar vs The Strongest 2026-11-08
- Blooming v Oriente Petrolero — match page 2026-11-08
- Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto — team news & stats 2026-11-10
Before and after this match
- Guabirá, previous: Guabirá vs Bolívar: odds and pick
- San Antonio Bulo Bulo, previous: ABB – San Antonio Bulo Bulo, 2026-10-31