Updated

Bolivia Primera División · Apertura - 25

Always Ready vs ABB

· Estadio Municipal de El Alto, El Alto

Alin prediction Always Ready to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 3 – 0

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Always ReadyDrawABB
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.97 vs 0.65.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Always Ready is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Always Ready1.10 Draw10.00 ABB26.00

Price as of

Expected return at 1.10: -5.0% per unit staked

Always Ready vs ABB preview

Always Ready has a strong 92% chance to win against ABB, with a most likely scoreline of 3-0 at 10%. The model also predicts an 84% probability for Over 2.5 goals, indicating a high-scoring match. Always Ready's expected goals stand at 3.97, while ABB's is just 0.65, reflecting their recent form where Always Ready has won 5 of their last 6 matches, and ABB has lost all 6 of theirs.

However, the 47% chance for both teams to score suggests that while Always Ready is expected to dominate, there is still a possibility for ABB to find the net. The confidence grade of C indicates some uncertainty in the predictions, meaning unexpected outcomes could still occur.

Always Ready vs ABB: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAlways ReadyDrawABB
Model92%6%2%
Market85%10%5%
Published86%9%4%
Edge+2%-1%-1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.97 vs 0.65.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.10, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Always Ready vs ABB odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Always Ready, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.

Opened 1.08Now 1.08 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Always Ready1.081.08+0.00
Draw9.108.80-0.30
ABB18.5018.50+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Always Ready and ABB expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

3.97Always Ready
0.65ABB
Total expected goals
4.62
Attack rating (Always Ready / ABB)
1.47 / 0.80
Defence rating (Always Ready / ABB)
0.63 / 1.30

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Always Ready vs ABB score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 1.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 1 3.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 2 7.8% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 3 10.3% 6.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 4+ 29.2% 19.0% 6.2% 1.3% 0.2%

Rows: Always Ready goals. Columns: ABB goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Always Ready vs ABB goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 99%
Over 1.5 95%
Over 2.5 84%
Over 3.5 68%
Both teams to score
47%
No goals (0–0)
1%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Always Ready vs ABB

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Always Ready86%1.16
Draw9%10.69
ABB4%23.47
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.584%1.19
Under 2.516%6.20
Both teams to scoreYes47%2.12
No53%1.89
Double chance1X (Always Ready or draw)96%1.04
12 (either side)91%1.10
X2 (draw or ABB)14%7.34
Handicap -1Always Ready win by 2+80%1.25
Push (exactly one goal)11%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Always Ready and ABB recent form

Always Ready 5W 0D 1L
ABB 0W 0D 6L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Always Ready at home

Record (W-D-L)
9-2-1
Win rate
75%
Goals for / match
2.67
Goals against / match
0.58
Clean sheets
6 of 12
  • They have won 16 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

ABB away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-10
Win rate
8%
Goals for / match
1.17
Goals against / match
2.92
Clean sheets
0 of 12
  • They have won 6 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Always Ready at home only, ABB away only.

Always Ready vs ABB head-to-head

Last 9 meetings: Always Ready 8 · draws 0 · ABB 1.

Always ReadyDrawsABB
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-09-19Always Ready1-4ABBCopa de la División Profesional
2026-08-30ABB0-1Always ReadyCopa de la División Profesional
2026-05-30ABB1-3Always ReadyBolivia Primera División
2026-02-04Always Ready5-2ABBTorneo Amistoso de Verano
2026-01-31ABB0-2Always ReadyTorneo Amistoso de Verano
2025-11-29ABB0-7Always ReadyBolivia Primera División
2025-11-08Always Ready5-1ABBCopa de la División Profesional
2025-08-28ABB1-2Always ReadyCopa de la División Profesional
2025-06-21Always Ready5-1ABBBolivia Primera División

Other Apertura - 25 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Always Ready to win Predicted score 3 – 0 C Bet on Always Ready