Universitario de Vinto vs Always Ready preview
In the fixture between Universitario de Vinto and Always Ready, the 1X2 probabilities show Always Ready at 63%, compared to Universitario de Vinto's 16%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with Always Ready's expected goals of 2.18 against Universitario de Vinto's 1.02.
While the model indicates a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 57%, factors like Universitario de Vinto's recent form of W-L-D-W-L-W could affect the outcome. Always Ready's strong performance with a recent record of W-L-W-W-W-W suggests they may continue their dominance, having won all three of their last encounters against Universitario de Vinto.
Universitario de Vinto vs Always Ready: model vs market
| Source | Universitario de Vinto | Draw | Always Ready |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16% | 21% | 63% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 16% | 21% | 63% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Universitario de Vinto and Always Ready expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.19
- Attack rating (Universitario de Vinto / Always Ready)
- 0.80 / 1.50
- Defence rating (Universitario de Vinto / Always Ready)
- 1.13 / 0.61
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Universitario de Vinto vs Always Ready score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Universitario de Vinto goals. Columns: Always Ready goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Universitario de Vinto vs Always Ready goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Universitario de Vinto vs Always Ready
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Universitario de Vinto | 16% | 6.38 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.66 | |
| Always Ready | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.62 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.74 |
| No | 43% | 2.35 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Universitario de Vinto or draw) | 37% | 2.69 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or Always Ready) | 84% | 1.19 | |
| Handicap -1 | Always Ready win by 2+ | 41% | 2.47 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Universitario de Vinto and Always Ready recent form
Universitario de Vinto
3W 1D 2L
Always Ready
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Universitario de Vinto at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-5
- Win rate
- 42%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 12
- They have won 6 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
Always Ready away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-4-1
- Win rate
- 55%
- Goals for / match
- 2.09
- Goals against / match
- 0.82
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 11
- They have won 14 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Universitario de Vinto at home only, Always Ready away only.
Universitario de Vinto vs Always Ready head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Universitario de Vinto 0 · draws 0 · Always Ready 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Always Ready | 4-0 | Universitario de Vinto | Bolivia Primera División |
| 2025-09-18 | Always Ready | 5-1 | Universitario de Vinto | Bolivia Primera División |
| 2025-04-27 | Universitario de Vinto | 0-7 | Always Ready | Bolivia Primera División |
Other Apertura - 24 fixtures
- Real Potosí vs Independiente Petrolero — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora 2026-10-31
- Real Oruro v Nacional Potosí — match page 2026-10-31
- ABB vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- The Strongest vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2026-11-01
- Guabirá v Bolívar — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Universitario de Vinto, previous: Bolívar – Universitario de Vinto, 2026-10-27
- Always Ready, previous: Always Ready – Real Oruro, 2026-10-25