Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse preview
Botev Plovdiv faces Dunav Ruse with a 49% chance to win compared to 28% for Dunav Ruse. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, reflecting a 9% probability. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals have a solid 67% likelihood, indicating a potential for an exciting match with multiple goals.
However, the recent form shows Botev Plovdiv has fluctuated, with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches. In contrast, Dunav Ruse has 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the same period. This inconsistency could affect the outcome, making it possible for Dunav Ruse to perform better than expected.
Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse: model vs market
| Source | Botev Plovdiv | Draw | Dunav Ruse |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 24% | 28% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 49% | 24% | 28% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.46.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Botev Plovdiv and Dunav Ruse expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.44
- Attack rating (Botev Plovdiv / Dunav Ruse)
- 1.19 / 1.16
- Defence rating (Botev Plovdiv / Dunav Ruse)
- 1.19 / 1.27
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Botev Plovdiv goals. Columns: Dunav Ruse goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Botev Plovdiv | 49% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.24 | |
| Dunav Ruse | 28% | 3.62 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.02 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.49 |
| No | 33% | 3.05 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Botev Plovdiv or draw) | 72% | 1.38 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Dunav Ruse) | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Handicap -1 | Botev Plovdiv win by 2+ | 29% | 3.51 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Botev Plovdiv and Dunav Ruse recent form
Botev Plovdiv
4W 0D 2L
Dunav Ruse
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Botev Plovdiv at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dunav Ruse away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-4
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Botev Plovdiv at home only, Dunav Ruse away only.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Septemvri Sofia v Lokomotiv Sofia — match page 2026-11-06
- Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna 2026-11-07
- Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948 2026-11-07
- Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali 2026-11-08
- Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Botev Plovdiv, previous: Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv prediction
- Dunav Ruse, previous: Dunav Ruse vs Levski Sofia prediction