Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948 preview
Ludogorets faces CSKA 1948 with a 50% chance of winning, while CSKA 1948 has a 24% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.75 for Ludogorets and 1.17 for CSKA 1948. The model suggests a 56% probability for Over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance for both teams to score.
Recent form shows Ludogorets with three wins in their last six matches, while CSKA 1948 has also won three but lost two of their last six. In their last four encounters, CSKA 1948 has won three times, which could influence the outcome. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948: model vs market
| Source | Ludogorets | Draw | CSKA 1948 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Ludogorets and CSKA 1948 expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.92
- Attack rating (Ludogorets / CSKA 1948)
- 1.38 / 1.45
- Defence rating (Ludogorets / CSKA 1948)
- 0.85 / 0.89
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948 score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ludogorets goals. Columns: CSKA 1948 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948 goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ludogorets | 43% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.76 | |
| CSKA 1948 | 30% | 3.33 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.79 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.27 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.68 |
| No | 40% | 2.48 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ludogorets or draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or CSKA 1948) | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ludogorets win by 2+ | 23% | 4.39 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Ludogorets and CSKA 1948 recent form
Ludogorets
3W 2D 1L
CSKA 1948
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ludogorets at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-0
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 2.17
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CSKA 1948 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ludogorets at home only, CSKA 1948 away only.
Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948 head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Ludogorets 1 · draws 0 · CSKA 1948 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | CSKA 1948 | 1-0 | Ludogorets | Bulgaria First League |
| 2026-04-25 | Ludogorets | 1-2 | CSKA 1948 | Bulgaria First League |
| 2026-04-05 | Ludogorets | 3-0 | CSKA 1948 | Bulgaria First League |
| 2025-10-27 | CSKA 1948 | 5-4 | Ludogorets | Bulgaria First League |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Septemvri Sofia v Lokomotiv Sofia — match page 2026-11-06
- Botev Plovdiv v Dunav Ruse — match page 2026-11-06
- Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna 2026-11-07
- Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali 2026-11-08
- Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Ludogorets, previous: Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets: odds and pick
- CSKA 1948, previous: CSKA 1948 – Spartak Varna, 2026-10-30