Teungueth vs Colombe Prediction & Betting Tips 18/10/2026

Teungueth vs Colombe preview

In the CAF Champions League match between Teungueth and Colombe, the 1X2 probabilities show Teungueth at 39%, a draw at 47%, and Colombe at 14%. The most likely scoreline is 0-0, with a 37% chance, reflecting a low-scoring expectation.

Both teams have struggled to find the net, with expected goals of 0.69 for Teungueth and 0.32 for Colombe. The likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is just 8%, and both teams to score stands at 14%. If either team can improve their offensive play, the match could deviate from the predicted scoreline.

Teungueth vs Colombe: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Teungueth	Draw	Colombe
Model	39%	47%	14%
Market	—	—	—
Published	39%	47%	14%
Edge	—	—	—

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Teungueth and Colombe expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.69Teungueth

0.32Colombe

Total expected goals: 1.01
Attack rating (Teungueth / Colombe): 1.00 / 0.61
Defence rating (Teungueth / Colombe): 0.71 / 0.54

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Teungueth vs Colombe score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 37.2% 10.9% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 1 24.3% 8.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 2 8.7% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 3 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 4+ 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Teungueth goals. Columns: Colombe goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Teungueth vs Colombe goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 63%

Over 1.5 28%

Over 2.5 8%

Over 3.5 2%

Both teams to score: 14%
No goals (0–0): 37%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Teungueth vs Colombe

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Teungueth	39%	2.56
	Draw	47%	2.15
	Colombe	14%	6.91
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	8%	12.15
	Under 2.5	92%	1.09
Both teams to score	Yes	14%	6.90
	No	86%	1.17
Double chance	1X (Teungueth or draw)	86%	1.17
	12 (either side)	53%	1.87
	X2 (draw or Colombe)	61%	1.64
Handicap -1	Teungueth win by 2+	12%	8.45
	Push (exactly one goal)	27%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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