Huachipato vs O'Higgins: model vs market
| Source | Huachipato | Draw | O'Higgins |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 27% | 27% |
| Market | 32% | 27% | 40% |
| Published | 36% | 27% | 37% |
| Edge | +13% | 0% | -13% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.35, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Huachipato vs O'Higgins odds movement
Median bookmaker price on O'Higgins, 22 snapshots since 2026-09-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huachipato | 2.83 | 2.85 | +0.02 |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.35 | -0.05 |
| O'Higgins | 2.33 | 2.27 | -0.05 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Huachipato and O'Higgins expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.73
- Attack rating (Huachipato / O'Higgins)
- 0.90 / 0.83
- Defence rating (Huachipato / O'Higgins)
- 1.21 / 1.11
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Huachipato vs O'Higgins score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Huachipato goals. Columns: O'Higgins goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Huachipato vs O'Higgins goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Huachipato vs O'Higgins
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Huachipato | 36% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 | |
| O'Higgins | 37% | 2.70 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.05 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.80 |
| No | 45% | 2.25 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Huachipato or draw) | 63% | 1.59 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or O'Higgins) | 64% | 1.55 | |
| Handicap -1 | O'Higgins win by 2+ | 11% | 8.91 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Huachipato and O'Higgins recent form
Huachipato
2W 1D 3L
O'Higgins
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Huachipato at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-4
- Win rate
- 45%
- Goals for / match
- 1.91
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 11
- They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
O'Higgins away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-6
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.42
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 12
- They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Huachipato at home only, O'Higgins away only.
Huachipato vs O'Higgins head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Huachipato 2 · draws 1 · O'Higgins 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | O'Higgins | 0-2 | Huachipato | Chile Primera División |
| 2025-07-21 | Huachipato | 2-1 | O'Higgins | Chile Primera División |
| 2025-02-15 | O'Higgins | 0-0 | Huachipato | Chile Primera División |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
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- Concepción v Union La Calera — match page 2026-10-11
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