Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda preview
Chengdu Better City hosts Tianjin Teda with a 52% probability of winning according to the model. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which reflects a low-scoring expectation. However, the 52% chance for both teams to score suggests that Tianjin Teda could find the net, potentially altering the match dynamics.
Chengdu Better City has an expected goals figure of 1.28, while Tianjin Teda is close behind at 1.20. Recent form shows Chengdu Better City with two wins in their last six matches, while Tianjin Teda has won two of their last six. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions, which could lead to unexpected outcomes.
Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda: model vs market
| Source | Chengdu Better City | Draw | Tianjin Teda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 30% | 33% |
| Market | 57% | 23% | 20% |
| Published | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Edge | -20% | +7% | +13% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.65, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Chengdu Better City, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Better City | 1.65 | 1.62 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 4.07 | 4.00 | -0.07 |
| Tianjin Teda | 4.47 | 4.65 | +0.18 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Chengdu Better City and Tianjin Teda expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.48
- Attack rating (Chengdu Better City / Tianjin Teda)
- 0.97 / 0.92
- Defence rating (Chengdu Better City / Tianjin Teda)
- 0.95 / 0.74
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Chengdu Better City goals. Columns: Tianjin Teda goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chengdu Better City | 52% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.04 | |
| Tianjin Teda | 23% | 4.31 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.22 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.94 |
| No | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Chengdu Better City or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Tianjin Teda) | 48% | 2.09 | |
| Handicap -1 | Chengdu Better City win by 2+ | 17% | 5.86 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Chengdu Better City and Tianjin Teda recent form
Chengdu Better City
2W 2D 2L
Tianjin Teda
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Chengdu Better City at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-3-2
- Win rate
- 62%
- Goals for / match
- 2.38
- Goals against / match
- 1.08
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 13
- They have won 15 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tianjin Teda away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-4
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 12
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Chengdu Better City at home only, Tianjin Teda away only.
Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Chengdu Better City 1 · draws 0 · Tianjin Teda 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Tianjin Teda | 1-2 | Chengdu Better City | China Super League |
| 2025-07-18 | Tianjin Teda | 2-1 | Chengdu Better City | China Super League |
| 2025-03-02 | Chengdu Better City | 1-2 | Tianjin Teda | China Super League |
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