Anorthosis vs Omonia Nicosia preview
In the Cyprus 1. Division match between Anorthosis and Omonia Nicosia, the 1X2 probabilities show Omonia Nicosia at 47%, compared to Anorthosis at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance. Omonia Nicosia has won both of their last two head-to-head encounters, which adds to their advantage.
Both teams to score has a 55% likelihood, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 51%. Anorthosis has an expected goals figure of 1.13, while Omonia Nicosia is at 1.60. Anorthosis's recent form shows inconsistency with 2 wins in their last 6 matches, which could impact their performance.
Anorthosis vs Omonia Nicosia: model vs market
| Source | Anorthosis | Draw | Omonia Nicosia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30% | 27% | 44% |
| Market | 16% | 22% | 62% |
| Published | 20% | 23% | 57% |
| Edge | +3% | +1% | -4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.30.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Anorthosis vs Omonia Nicosia odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Omonia Nicosia, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anorthosis | 7.00 | 5.60 | -1.40 |
| Draw | 4.38 | 4.15 | -0.22 |
| Omonia Nicosia | 1.40 | 1.49 | +0.09 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Anorthosis and Omonia Nicosia expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.91
- Attack rating (Anorthosis / Omonia Nicosia)
- 0.89 / 1.19
- Defence rating (Anorthosis / Omonia Nicosia)
- 1.12 / 0.99
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Anorthosis vs Omonia Nicosia score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Anorthosis goals. Columns: Omonia Nicosia goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Anorthosis vs Omonia Nicosia goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Anorthosis vs Omonia Nicosia
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Anorthosis | 20% | 5.08 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.30 | |
| Omonia Nicosia | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.69 |
| No | 41% | 2.46 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Anorthosis or draw) | 43% | 2.33 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Omonia Nicosia) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| Handicap -1 | Omonia Nicosia win by 2+ | 23% | 4.35 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Anorthosis and Omonia Nicosia recent form
Anorthosis
2W 0D 4L
Omonia Nicosia
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Anorthosis at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Omonia Nicosia away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Anorthosis at home only, Omonia Nicosia away only.
Anorthosis vs Omonia Nicosia head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Anorthosis 0 · draws 0 · Omonia Nicosia 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | Omonia Nicosia | 2-0 | Anorthosis | Cyprus 1. Division |
| 2025-09-28 | Anorthosis | 0-5 | Omonia Nicosia | Cyprus 1. Division |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Nea Salamis vs Omonia Aradippou 2026-11-06
- AEL vs Krasava Ypsonas — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Olympiakos vs Apollon Limassol — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Apoel Nicosia vs Aris 2026-11-08
- Pafos v Omonia 29is Maiou — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Anorthosis, previous: Aris vs Anorthosis prediction
- Omonia Nicosia, previous: NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia prediction
- Omonia Nicosia, next: Juventus vs Omonia Nicosia prediction