Pafos vs Omonia 29is Maiou preview
In the match between Pafos and Omonia 29is Maiou, the 1X2 probabilities show Pafos at 70%, while Omonia 29is Maiou is at 13%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Pafos has an expected goals figure of 1.52 compared to Omonia's 1.29, suggesting a stronger attacking performance from Pafos.
However, Pafos has struggled recently, recording four draws and two losses in their last six matches. Omonia 29is Maiou's recent form includes two wins in their last six, which could lead to a tighter contest than anticipated. The model indicates a 53% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance for both teams to score, but these outcomes could be affected by the teams' current form.
Pafos vs Omonia 29is Maiou: model vs market
| Source | Pafos | Draw | Omonia 29is Maiou |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 27% | 31% |
| Market | 79% | 14% | 7% |
| Published | 70% | 17% | 13% |
| Edge | -9% | +3% | +6% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.18, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -17.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Pafos vs Omonia 29is Maiou odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Pafos, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pafos | 1.19 | 1.15 | -0.03 |
| Draw | 6.15 | 6.55 | +0.40 |
| Omonia 29is Maiou | 13.22 | 13.04 | -0.19 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Pafos and Omonia 29is Maiou expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.81
- Attack rating (Pafos / Omonia 29is Maiou)
- 0.92 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Pafos / Omonia 29is Maiou)
- 1.00 / 1.13
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Pafos vs Omonia 29is Maiou score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Pafos goals. Columns: Omonia 29is Maiou goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Pafos vs Omonia 29is Maiou goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Pafos vs Omonia 29is Maiou
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pafos | 70% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.78 | |
| Omonia 29is Maiou | 13% | 7.66 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.73 |
| No | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Pafos or draw) | 87% | 1.15 |
| 12 (either side) | 83% | 1.21 | |
| X2 (draw or Omonia 29is Maiou) | 30% | 3.29 | |
| Handicap -1 | Pafos win by 2+ | 21% | 4.76 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Pafos and Omonia 29is Maiou recent form
Pafos
0W 4D 2L
Omonia 29is Maiou
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Pafos at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Omonia 29is Maiou away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
League matches this season before kick-off: Pafos at home only, Omonia 29is Maiou away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Nea Salamis vs Omonia Aradippou 2026-11-06
- AEL vs Krasava Ypsonas — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Olympiakos vs Apollon Limassol — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Anorthosis v Omonia Nicosia — match page 2026-11-08
- Apoel Nicosia vs Aris 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Pafos, previous: Twente vs Pafos prediction
- Pafos, next: Pafos v FC Midtjylland analysis
- Omonia 29is Maiou, previous: Omonia 29is Maiou vs Nea Salamis prediction