Omonia 29is Maiou vs Nea Salamis preview
In the fixture between Omonia 29is Maiou and Nea Salamis, the 1X2 probabilities show Omonia 29is Maiou at 58%, with a likely scoreline of 2-1 (9%). Omonia has an expected goals figure of 2.47, while Nea Salamis stands at 1.53. The model indicates a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams to score at 72%.
However, the recent form could impact the outcome. Omonia has a mixed record with W-L-L-D-D-W, while Nea Salamis has struggled, recording L-L-W-L-L-D. With a confidence grade of C, the unpredictability of football means results can differ from the model's predictions.
Omonia 29is Maiou vs Nea Salamis: model vs market
| Source | Omonia 29is Maiou | Draw | Nea Salamis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 21% | 30% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 49% | 21% | 30% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 1.85.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Omonia 29is Maiou and Nea Salamis expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.19
- Attack rating (Omonia 29is Maiou / Nea Salamis)
- 1.10 / 1.19
- Defence rating (Omonia 29is Maiou / Nea Salamis)
- 1.26 / 1.46
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Omonia 29is Maiou vs Nea Salamis score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Omonia 29is Maiou goals. Columns: Nea Salamis goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Omonia 29is Maiou vs Nea Salamis goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 77%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Omonia 29is Maiou vs Nea Salamis
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 49% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.77 | |
| Nea Salamis | 30% | 3.32 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79% | 1.27 |
| Under 2.5 | 21% | 4.74 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77% | 1.30 |
| No | 23% | 4.31 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Omonia 29is Maiou or draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or Nea Salamis) | 51% | 1.96 | |
| Handicap -1 | Omonia 29is Maiou win by 2+ | 30% | 3.30 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Omonia 29is Maiou and Nea Salamis recent form
Omonia 29is Maiou
1W 2D 3L
Nea Salamis
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Omonia 29is Maiou at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
Nea Salamis away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Omonia 29is Maiou at home only, Nea Salamis away only.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Karmiotissa v Olympiakos — match page 2026-10-30
- Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca 2026-10-31
- Apollon Limassol v Pafos — match page 2026-10-31
- Omonia Nicosia vs AEL — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Aris vs Anorthosis 2026-11-01
- Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Omonia 29is Maiou, previous: Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia 29is Maiou prediction
- Nea Salamis, previous: Nea Salamis vs Pafos: odds and pick