Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia preview
In the upcoming match between Omonia Aradippou and Apoel Nicosia, the 1X2 probabilities show Apoel Nicosia at 45%, while Omonia Aradippou sits at 26%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 0-1, with a probability of 11%. The expected goals are 1.06 for Omonia Aradippou and 1.44 for Apoel Nicosia, indicating a stronger attacking performance from the visitors.
However, Omonia Aradippou's recent form includes three losses and two draws, which could impact their performance. Additionally, while both teams to score has a probability of 51%, the match could also end without goals from Omonia Aradippou, affecting the overall outcome. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia: model vs market
| Source | Omonia Aradippou | Draw | Apoel Nicosia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26% | 29% | 45% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 26% | 29% | 45% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 1.06.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Omonia Aradippou and Apoel Nicosia expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.50
- Attack rating (Omonia Aradippou / Apoel Nicosia)
- 0.68 / 1.19
- Defence rating (Omonia Aradippou / Apoel Nicosia)
- 0.99 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Omonia Aradippou goals. Columns: Apoel Nicosia goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Omonia Aradippou | 26% | 3.78 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.46 | |
| Apoel Nicosia | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.19 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.95 |
| No | 49% | 2.05 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Omonia Aradippou or draw) | 55% | 1.81 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Apoel Nicosia) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| Handicap -1 | Apoel Nicosia win by 2+ | 22% | 4.45 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Omonia Aradippou and Apoel Nicosia recent form
Omonia Aradippou
1W 2D 3L
Apoel Nicosia
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Omonia Aradippou at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Apoel Nicosia away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Omonia Aradippou at home only, Apoel Nicosia away only.
Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Omonia Aradippou 0 · draws 1 · Apoel Nicosia 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | Apoel Nicosia | 1-1 | Omonia Aradippou | Cyprus 1. Division |
| 2025-10-03 | Omonia Aradippou | 0-4 | Apoel Nicosia | Cyprus 1. Division |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Karmiotissa v Olympiakos — match page 2026-10-30
- Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca 2026-10-31
- Apollon Limassol v Pafos — match page 2026-10-31
- Omonia Nicosia vs AEL — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Aris vs Anorthosis 2026-11-01
- Omonia 29is Maiou v Nea Salamis — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Omonia Aradippou, previous: Anorthosis – Omonia Aradippou, 2026-10-24
- Apoel Nicosia, previous: Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia 29is Maiou prediction