Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca preview
Krasava Ypsonas faces AEK Larnaca with a 57% chance of an AEK Larnaca win according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which occurs 10% of the time in our predictions. Krasava Ypsonas has struggled recently, with 6 matches resulting in just 1 win, while AEK Larnaca has shown better form with 4 wins in their last 6 matches.
There is a 59% probability of Over 2.5 goals in this match, and both teams to score is at 58%. However, if Krasava Ypsonas can improve their performance and score more than their expected goals of 1.09, the outcome could differ from the predictions.
Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca: model vs market
| Source | Krasava Ypsonas | Draw | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22% | 25% | 53% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 22% | 25% | 53% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.09.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Krasava Ypsonas and AEK Larnaca expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.87
- Attack rating (Krasava Ypsonas / AEK Larnaca)
- 0.89 / 1.19
- Defence rating (Krasava Ypsonas / AEK Larnaca)
- 1.22 / 0.83
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Krasava Ypsonas goals. Columns: AEK Larnaca goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Krasava Ypsonas | 22% | 4.57 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 | |
| AEK Larnaca | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.21 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.78 |
| No | 44% | 2.29 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Krasava Ypsonas or draw) | 47% | 2.11 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or AEK Larnaca) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| Handicap -1 | AEK Larnaca win by 2+ | 30% | 3.32 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Krasava Ypsonas and AEK Larnaca recent form
Krasava Ypsonas
1W 1D 4L
AEK Larnaca
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Krasava Ypsonas at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
AEK Larnaca away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
League matches this season before kick-off: Krasava Ypsonas at home only, AEK Larnaca away only.
Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Krasava Ypsonas 0 · draws 0 · AEK Larnaca 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | AEK Larnaca | 2-1 | Krasava Ypsonas | Cyprus 1. Division |
| 2025-09-27 | Krasava Ypsonas | 0-4 | AEK Larnaca | Cyprus 1. Division |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Karmiotissa v Olympiakos — match page 2026-10-30
- Apollon Limassol v Pafos — match page 2026-10-31
- Omonia Nicosia vs AEL — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Aris vs Anorthosis 2026-11-01
- Omonia 29is Maiou v Nea Salamis — match page 2026-11-01
- Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Krasava Ypsonas, previous: Olympiakos – Krasava Ypsonas, 2026-10-24
- AEK Larnaca, previous: AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia: odds and pick